Games › Survival › Survival + Ninja
Should I ship a Ninja Survival game?
Survival + Ninja
Only 6 developers shipped a Ninja Survival game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Onimusha 2: Samurai's Destiny, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $840 against a market of $630. 9 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $210 (exactly $210) |
|---|---|
| Median | $836 (exactly $836) |
| Top 25% | $7.5k (exactly $7,492) |
| Top 5% | $597k (exactly $596,501) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 6 |
| Released games | 40 |
| Announced | 9 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Survival
- Price point
- $6.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 95% positive over 36,106 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $210. 9 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Survival with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + Social DeductionFair
- + Word GameFair
- + CatsFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + DogsFair
- + Martial ArtsLong shot
- + Boomer ShooterLong shot
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
Comparable games
Shadow Tactics: Blades of the Shogun 2016 · $37M 
Shadow Tactics: Aiko's Choice 2021 · $2.4M 
Onimusha 2: Samurai's Destiny 2025 · $597k 
Ed-0: Zombie Uprising 2023 · $190k 
Ninja Legends 2019 · $24k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Shadow Tactics: Blades of the Shogun | older | $39.99 | 30,845 96% | 925k | $37M (exactly $37,004,746) | Mimimi Games |
| | Shadow Tactics: Aiko's Choice | older | $19.99 | 3,965 93% | 119k | $2.4M (exactly $2,377,810) | Mimimi Games |
| | Onimusha 2: Samurai's Destiny | $29.99 | 663 85% | 20k | $597k (exactly $596,501) | CAPCOM Co., Ltd. | |
| | Ed-0: Zombie Uprising | older | $29.99 | 211 72% | 6.3k | $190k (exactly $189,837) | LANCARSE |
| | Ninja Legends | older | $19.99 | 40 95% | 1.2k | $24k (exactly $23,988) | Coinflip Studios |
 | Devils' Night Party | older | $5.99 | 92 53% | 2.8k | $17k (exactly $16,532) | NAGATOUI |
 | The Narrator Is a DICK | older | $4.99 | 107 76% | 3.2k | $16k (exactly $16,018) | Adam DeLease |
 | Agent in Depth | older | $2.99 | 108 93% | 3.2k | $9.7k (exactly $9,688) | Naturepixel Studios, SkyBrave |
 | Ninja Avenger Dragon Blade | older | $14.99 | 20 55% | 600 | $9.0k (exactly $8,994) | Meow Studios |
 | Street karate 3 | older | $4.99 | 55 80% | 1.7k | $8.2k (exactly $8,234) | Essential Tactics Games |
 | Typing Ninja | $9.99 | 25 96% | 750 | $7.5k (exactly $7,492) | Brain Boost Ninja | |
 | Slashboy | $1.99 | 14 92% | 420 | $836 (exactly $836) | Punch Game Project | |
 | Maskared | $1.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $239 (exactly $239) | Scintillant | |
 | Kunoichi's Cadence | $6.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $210 (exactly $210) | CodeBlues | |
 | SCROLLBOUND | $3.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | NoxCat Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.