Do I ship it?

Games › Parkour › Parkour + Ninja

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Ninja Parkour game?

Parkour + Ninja

Only 10 developers shipped a Ninja Parkour game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Assassin’s Creed Shadows, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×6.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $0 against a market of $630. 26 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 10490% on the market, 26 announced, ×6.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Parkour + Ninja
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $537 → $3.6k → $270 → $0 → $59
Outcomes for Parkour + Ninja: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $0 (exactly $0)
Top 25% $150 (exactly $150)
Top 5% $73M (exactly $73,390,814)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 53
Announced 26
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Parkour
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Ninja
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Parkour
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 4 games average 75% positive over 34,959 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $0, 1 in 4 over $150, 1 in 20 over $73M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Parkour with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Walking SimulatorFair38 devs · median $719 · 32 announced
  2. + Combat RacingFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  3. + Precision PlatformerLong shot310 devs · median $359 · 293 announced
  4. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds8 devs · median $80k · 40 announced
  5. + SkateboardingPoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds9 devs · median $4.2k · 33 announced
  7. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.4k · 72 announced
  8. + Dark FantasyPoor odds24 devs · median $3.4k · 37 announced
  9. + ModernPoor odds10 devs · median $3.1k · 24 announced
  10. + CatsPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 18 announced
  11. + DestructionPoor odds10 devs · median $2.9k · 27 announced
  12. + StealthPoor odds26 devs · median $2.7k · 77 announced

All 109 pairs on the Parkour page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Assassin’s Creed Shadows 2025 · $73M Shadow Warrior 2 2016 · $22M Overgrowth 2017 · $3.7M N++ (NPLUSPLUS) 2016 · $1.3M Sword With Sauce 2018 · $863k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Assassin’s Creed Shadows $69.99 34,953 75% 1.0M $73M (exactly $73,390,814) Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubisoft Bordeaux, Ubisoft Bucharest & Craiova, Ubisoft Chengdu, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Osaka, Ubisoft Philippines, Ubisoft Shanghai, Ubisoft Singapore, Ubisoft Sofia, Ubisoft Ukraine)
Shadow Warrior 2 older $29.99 24,120 87% 724k $22M (exactly $21,700,764) Flying Wild Hog
Overgrowth older $19.99 6,202 86% 186k $3.7M (exactly $3,719,339) Wolfire Games
N++ (NPLUSPLUS) older $14.99 2,825 95% 85k $1.3M (exactly $1,270,402) Metanet Software Inc.
Sword With Sauce older $4.99 5,762 86% 173k $863k (exactly $862,571) Diatomic Studios
Boomerang X older $19.99 1,228 95% 37k $736k (exactly $736,432) DANG!
KUNAI older $16.99 442 76% 13k $225k (exactly $225,287) TurtleBlaze
Sumoman older $11.99 542 79% 16k $195k (exactly $194,957) Tequilabyte Studio
Tricking 0 · EA older $19.99 107 89% 3.2k $64k (exactly $64,168) Full-in Studios
Pro Gymnast Simulator older $14.99 105 92% 3.2k $47k (exactly $47,218) Walaber Entertainment LLC
Backflip Madness 2 $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Hubert Śliwka
Forgotten spirit $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) BurningGRP
Angry Ninja $0.99 2 50% 60 $59 (exactly $59) Tornado Studio
Ninja and the Quest for the Jade Statue $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) our_flag_means_fun
Ninja Former $7.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) atCanis
The Legend of URE $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) James H. Van der Meulen
Ninja $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Taranau Aliaksei
Stranded at Sea $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Owen Delwiche, Preston Lindley, James G… (Owen Delwiche, Preston Lindley, James Goodwin)
ScapeTime $3.00 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) HOBRER

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.