Games › Turn-Based Strategy › Turn-Based Strategy + Naval
Should I ship a Naval Turn-Based Strategy?
Turn-Based Strategy + Naval
Only 14 developers shipped a Naval Turn-Based Strategy in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Rogue Waters, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $13k, ×20 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $850k, ×1368 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 19 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.4k (exactly $1,439) |
|---|---|
| Median | $13k (exactly $12,529) |
| Top 25% | $27k (exactly $26,863) |
| Top 5% | $859k (exactly $859,214) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 53 |
| Announced | 19 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $15.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Turn-Based Strategy
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Naval
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Turn-Based Strategy; all of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Tactical, Turn-Based Tactics
- Price point
- $15.99 typical · top 25% priced $59.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $15.99.
The top 10 games average 78% positive over 1,265 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Turn-Based Strategy with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + WuxiaFair
- + Cold WarFair
- + RomeFair
- + LootFair
- + MiningFair
- + DwarvesFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair
- + TanksFair
- + SokobanFair
- + Top-Down ShooterFair
- + SpaceFair
Comparable games
Total War: EMPIRE – Definitive Edition 2009 · $13M 
Total War: NAPOLEON – Definitive Edition 2010 · $11M 
Ultimate Admiral: Dreadnoughts 2023 · $7.0M 
Axis & Allies 1942 Online 2021 · $2.9M 
SteamWorld Heist II 2024 · $2.0M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Total War: EMPIRE – Definitive Edition | older | $19.99 | 21,302 89% | 639k | $13M (exactly $12,774,809) | CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive (M… (CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive (Mac), Feral Interactive (Linux)) |
| | Total War: NAPOLEON – Definitive Edition | older | $19.99 | 18,004 91% | 540k | $11M (exactly $10,796,999) | CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive (M… (CREATIVE ASSEMBLY, Feral Interactive (Mac)) |
| | Ultimate Admiral: Dreadnoughts | older | $34.99 | 6,664 62% | 200k | $7.0M (exactly $6,995,201) | Game-Labs |
| | Axis & Allies 1942 Online | older | $19.99 | 4,810 78% | 144k | $2.9M (exactly $2,884,557) | Beamdog |
| | SteamWorld Heist II | older | $29.99 | 2,201 93% | 66k | $2.0M (exactly $1,980,240) | Thunderful Development |
 | Rule the Waves 3 | older | $39.99 | 855 87% | 26k | $1.0M (exactly $1,025,744) | Naval Warfare Simulations |
 | Rogue Waters | $29.99 | 955 75% | 29k | $859k (exactly $859,214) | Ice Code Games | |
 | Strategic Mind: The Pacific | older | $29.99 | 538 74% | 16k | $484k (exactly $484,039) | Starni Games |
 | Hasbro's BATTLESHIP | older | $12.49 | 828 82% | 25k | $310k (exactly $310,252) | Marmalade Game Studio Ltd |
 | Carrier Battles 4 Guadalcanal - Pacific War Naval Warfare | older | $29.99 | 305 87% | 9.2k | $274k (exactly $274,408) | Cyril Jarnot |
 | 大戦略SSB2 | $59.99 | 36 66% | 1.1k | $65k (exactly $64,789) | Systemsoft beta, Inc. | |
 | Sunrider Legends Tactics | $29.99 | 40 80% | 1.2k | $36k (exactly $35,988) | Love in Space | |
 | Tactical Annihilation | $15.99 | 56 98% | 1.7k | $27k (exactly $26,863) | B.G. Game Studio | |
 | Beacon Patrol | $11.99 | 70 97% | 2.1k | $25k (exactly $25,179) | Shapes and Dreams, BrutalHack | |
 | Dread Admiral | $13.99 | 59 89% | 1.8k | $25k (exactly $24,762) | Tescrin Games | |
 | Wizard Warfare 2: Cephalopod Wars | $10.99 | 38 86% | 1.1k | $13k (exactly $12,529) | Psyanotek Limited | |
 | Battleships and Carriers 2: 1940-1945 | $15.99 | 5 60% | 150 | $2.4k (exactly $2,398) | SLS | |
 | XR22-SEAGUARD | $24.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $2.2k (exactly $2,249) | Jean-Francois, Clifford Ondini | |
 | Clad in Iron: War of The Pacific 1879 | $15.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $1.4k (exactly $1,439) | Totem Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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