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Should I ship a Naval Online Co-Op game?
Online Co-Op + Naval
Only 7 developers shipped a Naval Online Co-Op game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Darkwater, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 37 more are announced, ×6.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×1.6 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $960; 1 in 20 cleared $290k, ×198 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 37 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $955 (exactly $955) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.4k (exactly $2,398) |
| Top 25% | $70k (exactly $70,472) |
| Top 5% | $296k (exactly $296,403) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 7 |
| Released games | 26 |
| Announced | 37 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 500% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Online Co-Op
- effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines
- Naval
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Online Co-Op
- Price point
- $7.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 361,051 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $960. 37 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Online Co-Op with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Bullet HeavenStrong odds
- + Escape RoomFair
- + TypingFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + Extraction ShooterPoor odds
- + TransportationPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + World War IIPoor odds
- + City BuilderPoor odds
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Sea of Thieves: 2026 Edition | older | $39.99 | 322,072 88% | 9.7M | $386M (exactly $386,389,778) | Rare Ltd |
| | Battlefleet Gothic: Armada 2 | older | $19.99 | 9,701 74% | 291k | $5.8M (exactly $5,817,690) | Tindalos Interactive |
| | Skull and Bones | older | $29.99 | 4,650 65% | 140k | $4.2M (exactly $4,183,605) | Ubisoft Singapore |
| | Blazing Sails | older | $14.99 | 8,361 87% | 251k | $3.8M (exactly $3,759,942) | Get Up Games, Iceberg Interactive |
| | Ship of Fools | older | $21.99 | 5,040 82% | 151k | $3.3M (exactly $3,324,888) | Fika Productions |
| | Axis & Allies 1942 Online | older | $19.99 | 4,810 78% | 144k | $2.9M (exactly $2,884,557) | Beamdog |
| | Wolfpack | · EA older | $34.99 | 1,862 88% | 56k | $2.0M (exactly $1,954,541) | Usurpator AB |
| | Ships At Sea | · EA older | $24.99 | 2,479 69% | 74k | $1.9M (exactly $1,858,506) | Misc Games |
| | IronWolf VR | older | $19.99 | 1,087 94% | 33k | $652k (exactly $651,874) | Ionized Studios |
| | Darkwater | $9.99 | 989 77% | 30k | $296k (exactly $296,403) | Targon Studios | |
| | Water You Doing? | $7.99 | 294 59% | 8.8k | $70k (exactly $70,472) | DiSolve Studios | |
| | Dockside Dreams – Fish & Cook Simulator | $7.99 | 22 59% | 660 | $5.3k (exactly $5,273) | C51 Games | |
| | Fuel Cell | · EA | $9.99 | 8 100% | 240 | $2.4k (exactly $2,398) | Efshapo |
| | Wyrd Waters | $1.99 | 16 100% | 480 | $955 (exactly $955) | Maximalist | |
| | Nightmariners | $4.49 | 5 80% | 150 | $674 (exactly $674) | Ocean's Call Studios | |
| | Piece of Ship | · EA | $3.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $598 (exactly $598) | r-sky |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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