Do I ship it?

GamesShooterShooter + Mythology

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mythological Shooter?

Shooter + Mythology

Of 46 developers who shipped a Mythological Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 63 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×2.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $400k, ×639 the market median. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 63 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 63 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shooter + Mythology
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 46
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $10k → $1.8k → $1.6k → $8.2k → $2.4k → $959 (still earning) → $899 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Shooter + Mythology: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 46
Bottom 30% $298 (exactly $298)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,617)
Top 25% $11k (exactly $11,089)
Top 5% $401k (exactly $401,001)
Developers, 2 yr 46
Released games 112
Announced 63
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.50

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Mythology
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Shooter; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, FPS, Action Roguelike
Price point
$7.50 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.50.

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 5,061 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $400k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 32 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 63 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair23 devs · median $9.8k · 17 announced
  2. + CollectathonFair69 devs · median $1.4k · 64 announced
  3. + VampiresFair38 devs · median $1.3k · 41 announced
  4. + Walking SimulatorFair68 devs · median $1.2k · 62 announced
  5. + IdlerFair70 devs · median $836 · 59 announced
  6. + Match 3Fair15 devs · median $719 · 5 announced
  7. + SnowFair22 devs · median $570 · 23 announced
  8. + Boss RushFair16 devs · median $537 · 20 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair85 devs · median $479 · 88 announced
  10. + ArcadeLong shot1,151 devs · median $419 · 1,332 announced
  11. + Score AttackLong shot372 devs · median $300 · 352 announced
  12. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds25 devs · median $139k · 45 announced

All 229 pairs on the Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Strange Brigade older $49.99 8,309 84% 249k $12M (exactly $12,461,007) Rebellion
Neon Abyss 2 · EA $19.99 1,968 68% 59k $1.2M (exactly $1,180,210) Veewo Games
Folklore Hunter $17.99 1,217 75% 37k $657k (exactly $656,815) Liquid Donkey Games
UMIGARI | ウミガリ $12.99 1,029 82% 31k $401k (exactly $401,001) Chilla's Art
Legendary older $5.99 2,184 57% 66k $392k (exactly $392,465) Spark Unlimited
The Great Rebellion older $15.99 546 96% 16k $262k (exactly $261,916) Kvltgames
The Axis Unseen $24.99 309 75% 9.3k $232k (exactly $231,657) Just Purkey Games
MetaPhysical older $14.99 288 83% 8.6k $130k (exactly $129,514) Paper Promises Programming
White Hell · EA older $14.99 192 94% 5.8k $86k (exactly $86,342) Robert Raulus, Mikko Tamper, Antti Allén
Blood Rush · EA $14.49 161 98% 4.8k $70k (exactly $69,987) MaxEstLa
Vilde $15.99 87 74% 2.6k $42k (exactly $41,734) Chaotic Minds
Nun of your Business $5.99 126 73% 3.8k $23k (exactly $22,642) Revolt Games
Touhou Kouzougi ~ Flickerframe Shutter Festival $14.99 47 93% 1.4k $21k (exactly $21,136) Ryann Thierry
Versebound $6.99 81 97% 2.4k $17k (exactly $16,986) Conifer Digital
Seth $12.99 36 77% 1.1k $14k (exactly $14,029) Chaotic Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.