Do I ship it?

GamesOnline Co-OpOnline Co-Op + Mythology

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mythological Online Co-Op game?

Online Co-Op + Mythology

Of 21 developers who shipped a Mythological Online Co-Op game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 83 more are announced, ×8.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $8.7k, ×5.8 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $960; 1 in 20 cleared $18M, ×12191 the market median. Revenue is up 1890% on the market; 83 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 1890% on the market, 83 announced, ×8.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Online Co-Op + Mythology
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $72k → $896 → $955 → $1.2M → $8.7k (still earning) → $25k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Online Co-Op + Mythology: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $959 (exactly $959)
Median $8.7k (exactly $8,691)
Top 25% $106k (exactly $105,574)
Top 5% $18M (exactly $18,262,681)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 65
Announced 83
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1890% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 34%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Online Co-Op
effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines
Mythology
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Online Co-Op; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Co-op, Open World
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Difficult, Isometric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 490,104 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $960, median $8.7k, 1 in 4 over $100k, 1 in 20 over $18M.

3 in 10 developers made under $960. 7 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 83 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×8.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Online Co-Op with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Bullet HeavenStrong odds27 devs · median $9.3k · 38 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair31 devs · median $14k · 32 announced
  3. + TypingFair16 devs · median $5.0k · 12 announced
  4. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 34 announced
  5. + Point & ClickFair28 devs · median $1.7k · 34 announced
  6. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds29 devs · median $443k · 70 announced
  7. + TransportationPoor odds14 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  8. + JRPGPoor odds11 devs · median $346k · 16 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds72 devs · median $217k · 139 announced
  10. + World War IIPoor odds10 devs · median $188k · 18 announced
  11. + City BuilderPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds20 devs · median $95k · 18 announced

All 211 pairs on the Online Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Valheim $29.99 464,893 94% 14M $418M (exactly $418,264,232) Iron Gate AB
Age of Mythology: Retold older $29.99 20,943 90% 628k $19M (exactly $18,842,417) World's Edge, Forgotten Empires, Tantal… (World's Edge, Forgotten Empires, Tantalus Media, CaptureAge, Virtuos Games)
Titan Quest II · EA $34.99 17,398 81% 522k $18M (exactly $18,262,681) Grimlore Games
Strange Brigade older $49.99 8,309 84% 249k $12M (exactly $12,461,007) Rebellion
Tribes of Midgard older $19.99 17,465 76% 524k $10M (exactly $10,473,760) Norsfell
SWORN $24.99 3,779 80% 113k $2.8M (exactly $2,833,116) Windwalk Games
Vikings - Wolves of Midgard older $29.99 2,808 58% 84k $2.5M (exactly $2,526,358) Games Farm
Neon Abyss 2 · EA $19.99 1,968 68% 59k $1.2M (exactly $1,180,210) Veewo Games
Niffelheim older $19.99 1,820 73% 55k $1.1M (exactly $1,091,454) Ellada Games
Dawn of Defiance · EA older $19.99 1,734 77% 52k $1.0M (exactly $1,039,880) Traega Entertainment
Folklore Hunter $17.99 1,217 75% 37k $657k (exactly $656,815) Liquid Donkey Games
Utawarerumono: ZAN 2 $39.99 88 82% 2.6k $106k (exactly $105,574) AQUAPLUS
Pushing it! Together - Sisyphus Co-op $3.99 491 48% 15k $59k (exactly $58,773) Bashir "ManliestDev" Kashalo,… (Bashir "ManliestDev" Kashalo, Blind Archer)
Immortal Hunters $19.99 95 67% 2.9k $57k (exactly $56,971) Admiral Games
Together in Forgotten Lands $7.99 104 90% 3.1k $25k (exactly $24,929) Vellichor Games
Pyramidion · EA $4.99 71 85% 2.1k $11k (exactly $10,629) TechDevAYDIN

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.