Do I ship it?

GamesParkourParkour + Mystery

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mystery Parkour game?

Parkour + Mystery

Of 28 developers who shipped a Mystery Parkour game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 50 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×3.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $270k, ×434 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 50 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 50 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Parkour + Mystery
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 28
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $599 → $299 → $1.6k → $4.9k → $3.8k → $538 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Parkour + Mystery: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 28
Bottom 30% $269 (exactly $269)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,948)
Top 25% $8.1k (exactly $8,092)
Top 5% $273k (exactly $272,609)
Developers, 2 yr 28
Released games 76
Announced 50
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Parkour
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Mystery
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Parkour; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Platformer, Adventure, Exploration
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Third Person, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 2,634 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $8.0k, 1 in 20 over $270k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 8 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 50 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Parkour with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Walking SimulatorFair38 devs · median $719 · 32 announced
  2. + Combat RacingFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  3. + Precision PlatformerLong shot310 devs · median $359 · 293 announced
  4. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds8 devs · median $80k · 40 announced
  5. + SkateboardingPoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds9 devs · median $4.2k · 33 announced
  7. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.4k · 72 announced
  8. + Dark FantasyPoor odds24 devs · median $3.4k · 37 announced
  9. + ModernPoor odds10 devs · median $3.1k · 24 announced
  10. + CatsPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 18 announced
  11. + DestructionPoor odds10 devs · median $2.9k · 27 announced
  12. + StealthPoor odds26 devs · median $2.7k · 77 announced

All 109 pairs on the Parkour page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Submerged older $19.99 4,328 75% 130k $2.6M (exactly $2,595,502) Uppercut Games Pty Ltd
Tomb Raider IV-VI Remastered $29.99 1,507 89% 45k $1.4M (exactly $1,355,848) Aspyr, Crystal Dynamics
Aphelion $29.99 303 63% 9.1k $273k (exactly $272,609) DON'T NOD
BLACKSHARD $14.99 432 91% 13k $194k (exactly $194,270) Redlock Studio, Enclave
Everdeep Aurora $19.99 177 89% 5.3k $106k (exactly $106,147) Nautilus Games
Matter older $4.99 159 88% 4.8k $24k (exactly $23,802) Uki Uki Lab, Concrete Games
Jumpbound $12.99 50 94% 1.5k $19k (exactly $19,485) Another Round Entertainment
Reflection: The Greed older $6.99 66 65% 2.0k $14k (exactly $13,840) Zonex Entertainment Studios
Not Sure About That $4.99 76 98% 2.3k $11k (exactly $11,377) Scratch
CROW $9.99 27 85% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) Uniday Studio
Malevolent Madness $9.99 19 89% 570 $5.7k (exactly $5,694) NEBULA NOVA GAMES
GwenBlade: Halloween $5.99 27 92% 810 $4.9k (exactly $4,852) ArcWillow
Zerun: The Tiny Planet $7.99 16 100% 480 $3.8k (exactly $3,835) Mirakar Studio, CINEMAX GAMES

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.