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Should I ship a Multiple Endings Space Sim?
Space Sim + Multiple Endings
Of 23 developers who shipped a Multiple Endings Space Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×2.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $390k, ×621 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 39 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $30 (exactly $30) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) |
| Top 25% | $15k (exactly $14,748) |
| Top 5% | $390k (exactly $390,203) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 23 |
| Released games | 57 |
| Announced | 39 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Space Sim
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Multiple Endings
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Space Sim, Multiple Endings; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Management, Strategy, Adventure
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 78% positive over 6,036 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 39 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Space Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + DestructionFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + Tactical RPGFair
- + WarFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + SportsFair
- + DiplomacyLong shot
- + MilitaryPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Strategy RPGPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + Colony SimPoor odds
Comparable games
SpaceBourne 2 2025 · $3.0M 
Genesis Alpha One Deluxe Edition 2020 · $939k 
The Fermi Paradox 2021 · EA · $545k 
Approaching Infinity 2025 · $390k 
Lightracer Spark 2023 · $378k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | SpaceBourne 2 | $19.99 | 4,951 75% | 149k | $3.0M (exactly $2,969,115) | Burak Dabak | |
| | Genesis Alpha One Deluxe Edition | older | $19.99 | 1,566 73% | 47k | $939k (exactly $939,130) | Radiation Blue |
| | The Fermi Paradox | · EA older | $18.99 | 956 76% | 29k | $545k (exactly $544,633) | Anomaly Games |
| | Approaching Infinity | $17.99 | 723 95% | 22k | $390k (exactly $390,203) | IBOL | |
| | Lightracer Spark | older | $12.99 | 970 83% | 29k | $378k (exactly $378,009) | Smartmelon Games |
 | Space Wreck | older | $16.99 | 170 88% | 5.1k | $87k (exactly $86,649) | Pahris Entertainment SIA |
 | Ceiba | older | $6.99 | 255 94% | 7.7k | $53k (exactly $53,474) | Wirion, 7DOTS |
 | Lunar Ascendant | $14.99 | 86 44% | 2.6k | $39k (exactly $38,674) | Darts Games | |
 | Starlight Drifter | older | $19.99 | 46 67% | 1.4k | $28k (exactly $27,586) | Dharker Studios |
 | Endless Dark | $7.99 | 115 99% | 3.5k | $28k (exactly $27,566) | Little Light Studios, LLC | |
 | Quantum Void | $11.99 | 69 95% | 2.1k | $25k (exactly $24,819) | TacNours | |
 | Warp to Sector One | · EA | $11.99 | 41 92% | 1.2k | $15k (exactly $14,748) | hextor.Games |
 | Become Emperor! My Trillion Beauties Planet Empire | $39.99 | 6 16% | 180 | $7.2k (exactly $7,198) | 万亿美女星球工程设计研究院, Trillion Beauties Planet… (万亿美女星球工程设计研究院, Trillion Beauties Planet Engineering Design Institute) | |
 | beyond.frontiers | · EA | $9.99 | 20 55% | 600 | $6.0k (exactly $5,994) | Duality Beyond Studios |
 | たんぽぽプラネット-Dandelion Planet- | $12.99 | 14 100% | 420 | $5.5k (exactly $5,456) | Mareffy, Mareffy's games | |
 | Into the M.A.W. | $14.99 | 11 100% | 330 | $4.9k (exactly $4,947) | Moonrise Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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