Do I ship it?

GamesMultiple EndingsMultiple Endings + Snow

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Snow Multiple Endings game?

Multiple Endings + Snow

Only 14 developers shipped a Snow Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Snow Ash, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $80k, ×169 the market median. Revenue is up 2410% on the market; 24 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 2410% on the market, 24 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Multiple Endings + Snow
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $24k → $1.9k → $210 → $10k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Multiple Endings + Snow: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $10k (exactly $10,496)
Top 5% $80k (exactly $80,496)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 35
Announced 24
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2410% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Snow
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Multiple Endings
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 504 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $900, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $80k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Multiple Endings with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds128 devs · median $65k · 93 announced
  2. + WuxiaFair11 devs · median $230k · 18 announced
  3. + Level EditorFair17 devs · median $8.1k · 23 announced
  4. + Job SimulatorFair32 devs · median $5.8k · 42 announced
  5. + SuperheroFair15 devs · median $4.5k · 22 announced
  6. + 4 Player LocalFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  7. + Escape RoomFair37 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  8. + GamblingFair30 devs · median $1.8k · 42 announced
  9. + TriviaFair14 devs · median $1.7k · 15 announced
  10. + Score AttackFair40 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  11. + ArcadeFair176 devs · median $598 · 180 announced
  12. + Arena ShooterFair18 devs · median $597 · 16 announced

All 214 pairs on the Multiple Endings page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
PANELKI older $7.99 2,404 86% 72k $576k (exactly $576,239) Alexander Gromyko
Snow Ash $14.99 179 73% 5.4k $80k (exactly $80,496) Ember Studio
Yukikoi Melt older $29.99 84 92% 2.5k $76k (exactly $75,575) Frontwing
Twofold older $19.99 106 97% 3.2k $64k (exactly $63,568) Salty Salty Studios, Studio Coattails
Snowed Under | 雪葬 $7.99 194 60% 5.8k $47k (exactly $46,502) Chilla's Art
First Snow older $9.99 125 90% 3.8k $37k (exactly $37,462) Studio Ly
Everybody Wham Wham older $7.99 140 97% 4.2k $34k (exactly $33,558) Bonte Avond
Firebird older $11.99 68 100% 2.0k $24k (exactly $24,460) Ludogram, FibreTigre, Quentin Vijoux
Darkway: Murder of King Mere $7.99 78 97% 2.3k $19k (exactly $18,697) IM/MORTAL Studios, Pierce Papke / Ekpap
Nova Antarctica $24.99 14 78% 420 $10k (exactly $10,496) RexLabo, PARCO GAMES
Vladimere's Lhore $17.99 13 84% 390 $7.0k (exactly $7,016) Vladimere Lhore
Snowscape $4.99 16 93% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) Cosnow, Yim Sang Woo, parser, MEADOWS95
Winter Hubris $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Melty Clown Studio
さくらいろテトラプリズム $24.99 1 100% 30 $750 (exactly $750) blooming spectrum
Frostveil: The Last Winter $3.99 5 60% 150 $598 (exactly $598) Alabarda Gaming
Hentai Senpai: Thiccmas Cumsluts $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) Kink Master Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.