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Should I ship a Multiple Endings Parkour game?
Parkour + Multiple Endings
Only 17 developers shipped a Multiple Endings Parkour game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, BLACKSHARD, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $810, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $190k, ×309 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 35 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $358 (exactly $358) |
|---|---|
| Median | $807 (exactly $807) |
| Top 25% | $36k (exactly $35,859) |
| Top 5% | $194k (exactly $194,270) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 48 |
| Announced | 35 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 25%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Parkour
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Multiple Endings
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Parkour, Multiple Endings; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Platformer, Exploration
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Third Person, 3D, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 1,731 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Parkour with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Combat RacingFair
- + Precision PlatformerLong shot
- + MetroidvaniaPoor odds
- + SkateboardingPoor odds
- + SwordplayPoor odds
- + Hack and SlashPoor odds
- + Dark FantasyPoor odds
- + ModernPoor odds
- + CatsPoor odds
- + DestructionPoor odds
- + StealthPoor odds
Comparable games
Assassin's Creed® Odyssey 2018 · $310M 
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition 2022 · $297M 
Hunt Down The Freeman 2018 · $1.1M 
BLACKSHARD 2025 · $194k 
GuGu Pizza : Delivering Pizza to the Space Station? Boss, this is just not right! 2025 · $108k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Assassin's Creed® Odyssey | older | $59.99 | 172,149 89% | 5.2M | $310M (exactly $309,816,555) | Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Bucharest, Ubisoft Singapore, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Kiev, Ubisoft Shanghai) |
| | Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition | older | $59.99 | 164,914 79% | 4.9M | $297M (exactly $296,795,726) | Techland |
| | Hunt Down The Freeman | older | $9.99 | 3,785 54% | 114k | $1.1M (exactly $1,134,364) | Royal Rudius Entertainment |
| | BLACKSHARD | $14.99 | 432 91% | 13k | $194k (exactly $194,270) | Redlock Studio, Enclave | |
| | GuGu Pizza : Delivering Pizza to the Space Station? Boss, this is just not right! | $6.99 | 517 87% | 16k | $108k (exactly $108,415) | AnomalyGuys | |
 | Valkyrie Saga | $7.99 | 288 92% | 8.6k | $69k (exactly $69,034) | Public Void | |
 | Curiosity: A Cat Climbing Game | $9.99 | 220 96% | 6.6k | $66k (exactly $65,934) | DarkBear Studios, iNightGaming LLC | |
 | Single By Choice | older | $7.99 | 231 90% | 6.9k | $55k (exactly $55,371) | AIROTS, 非魚創意 |
 | Treasures of the Aegean | older | $19.99 | 82 86% | 2.5k | $49k (exactly $49,175) | Undercoders |
 | Dark Succubus | $6.99 | 171 77% | 5.1k | $36k (exactly $35,859) | ZC Game | |
 | Smack Monkey | $9.99 | 32 100% | 960 | $9.6k (exactly $9,590) | DrDrub | |
 | Pigeon Hater | $1.99 | 48 95% | 1.4k | $2.9k (exactly $2,866) | Gif2MemeGame | |
 | :3 | $6.99 | 8 100% | 240 | $1.7k (exactly $1,678) | mod.kitchen | |
 | Village of the Curse | $2.99 | 9 44% | 270 | $807 (exactly $807) | Leakage Games | |
 | Aria:|| | $3.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $718 (exactly $718) | Mangetsuya |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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