Should I ship a Wargame MOBA?
MOBA + Wargame
Only 9 developers shipped a paid Wargame MOBA in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Pennon and Battle, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 6 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 19 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 9 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $300 against a market of $1.3k. 19 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $300 (exactly $300) |
| Top 25% | $598 (exactly $598) |
| Top 5% | $100k (exactly $99,697) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 49 |
| Announced | 19 |
| Effort | 9 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 170% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 57%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 9 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- MOBA, Wargame
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 55% positive over 1,938 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
MOBA with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RoguelitePoor odds
- + AdventurePoor odds
- + Tower DefensePoor odds
- + FantasyPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + ActionPoor odds
- + SimulationPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Hero ShooterDead
- + SurvivalDead
Comparable games
AXYOS 2018 · $244k 
Pennon and Battle 2025 · $100k 
Sanguo's Ambition 4 :Three Kingdoms 2026 · $30k 
SKYRAID 2022 · EA · $6.0k 
Rage of Mechs 2024 · EA · $2.4k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | AXYOS | older | $4.99 | 1,629 52% | 49k | $244k (exactly $243,861) | Axyos Games |
| | Pennon and Battle | $18.99 | 175 69% | 5.3k | $100k (exactly $99,697) | PB Studio | |
| | Sanguo's Ambition 4 :Three Kingdoms | $9.99 | 101 68% | 3.0k | $30k (exactly $30,270) | Youshen Interactive | |
| | SKYRAID | · EA older | $19.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $6.0k (exactly $5,997) | Zaidos Games |
| | Rage of Mechs | · EA older | $9.99 | 8 50% | 240 | $2.4k (exactly $2,398) | Custom Software Development Limited |
 | Wizard War VR | older | $9.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | TAEHOON KIM |
 | The Last Bug | $3.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $598 (exactly $598) | 苦柚Games | |
 | Eternal War | older | $3.99 | 4 25% | 120 | $479 (exactly $479) | MaGames |
 | Cosmic Order Fleet | $4.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | DotSpark Studio | |
 | KOLOSS | · EA | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Breakpoint One, Simmation |
 | FastMoBa | $2.50 | 3 100% | 90 | $225 (exactly $225) | Nguyen Thanh Chinh | |
 | Bepe War | $5.00 | 1 100% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | BepeDev | |
 | KunlunWonderland | $0.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $30 (exactly $30) | He WenYuan | |
 | Ancient Chinese Grand Strategy | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | 戴军君 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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