Do I ship it?

GamesMOBAMOBA + Survival

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Survival MOBA?

MOBA + Survival

Only 6 developers shipped a paid Survival MOBA in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, EverSiege: Untold Ages, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 22 more are announced, ×11 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 9 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $31k against a market of $1.3k. 22 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 23.0 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 22 announced, ×11 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
MOBA + Survival
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 6

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for MOBA + Survival: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 6
Bottom 30% $598 (exactly $598)
Median $31k (exactly $31,029)
Top 25% $45k (exactly $45,127)
Top 5% $1.1M (exactly $1,143,028)
Developers, 2 yr 6
Released games 44
Announced 22
Effort 9 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 50%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

MOBA
effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus a balanced hero roster
Survival
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
9 / 10 · studio only
Systems
MOBA, Survival
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 63% positive over 4,704 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $31k, 1 in 4 over $45k, 1 in 20 over $1.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×11 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

MOBA with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelitePoor odds10 devs · median $3.9k · 15 announced
  2. + AdventurePoor odds12 devs · median $3.1k · 44 announced
  3. + Tower DefensePoor odds7 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  4. + FantasyPoor odds18 devs · median $2.7k · 85 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationPoor odds10 devs · median $1.8k · 40 announced
  6. + Online Co-OpPoor odds19 devs · median $600 · 57 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds21 devs · median $479 · 53 announced
  8. + ActionPoor odds53 devs · median $359 · 170 announced
  9. + SimulationPoor odds12 devs · median $359 · 33 announced
  10. + RPGPoor odds23 devs · median $180 · 73 announced
  11. + Hero ShooterDead5 devs · median $49k · 24 announced
  12. + Battle RoyaleDead4 devs · median $16k · 30 announced

All 50 pairs on the MOBA page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
EverSiege: Untold Ages $19.99 1,906 68% 57k $1.1M (exactly $1,143,028) Tindalos Interactive
AXYOS older $4.99 1,629 52% 49k $244k (exactly $243,861) Axyos Games
Goonya Monster older $19.99 185 76% 5.6k $111k (exactly $110,944) MUTAN
The Chronicles of Dragon Wing - Reborn older $19.99 158 77% 4.7k $95k (exactly $94,753) Dragon Wing Studio
Bloodsports.TV older $9.99 255 83% 7.7k $76k (exactly $76,424) Toadman Interactive, Fatshark
Egress older $14.99 107 58% 3.2k $48k (exactly $48,118) Fazan
The AC130 slays the zombies. $3.99 377 63% 11k $45k (exactly $45,127) 汪双羽
Girl Frame $14.99 69 68% 2.1k $31k (exactly $31,029) Meow Run, Cat Shine
Enemy Inside · EA $12.99 10 100% 300 $3.9k (exactly $3,897) Six Ways Games
蓝实战队 · EA older $6.99 8 25% 240 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) 清风
MOBA Dodge Trainer $3.99 5 100% 150 $598 (exactly $598) ZHOU JIANCHENG
十秒英雄1-Ten Seconds Hero1 · EA $24.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 地星(D·☆)

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.