Do I ship it?

GamesMOBAMOBA + Online Co-Op

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Online Co-Op MOBA?

MOBA + Online Co-Op

Only 19 developers shipped a paid Online Co-Op MOBA in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Shape of Dreams, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 6 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 57 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 9 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×0.4 the market's $1.3k for a 9 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $60. 57 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper, while revenue is up 625% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 625% on the market, 57 announced, ×4.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
MOBA + Online Co-Op
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.4k → $239 → $119 → $600 → $45k → $7.3k (still earning) → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for MOBA + Online Co-Op: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $600 (exactly $600)
Top 25% $86k (exactly $86,227)
Top 5% $12M (exactly $11,822,019)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 127
Announced 57
Effort 9 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 625% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 58%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

MOBA
effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus a balanced hero roster
Online Co-Op
effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
9 / 10 · studio only
Systems
MOBA, Online Co-Op; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Co-op, PvE
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 23,632 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $600, 1 in 4 over $86k, 1 in 20 over $11M.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 6 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 57 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

MOBA with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelitePoor odds10 devs · median $3.9k · 15 announced
  2. + AdventurePoor odds12 devs · median $3.1k · 44 announced
  3. + Tower DefensePoor odds7 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  4. + FantasyPoor odds18 devs · median $2.7k · 85 announced
  5. + Character CustomizationPoor odds10 devs · median $1.8k · 40 announced
  6. + Co-opPoor odds21 devs · median $479 · 53 announced
  7. + ActionPoor odds53 devs · median $359 · 170 announced
  8. + SimulationPoor odds12 devs · median $359 · 33 announced
  9. + RPGPoor odds23 devs · median $180 · 73 announced
  10. + Hero ShooterDead5 devs · median $49k · 24 announced
  11. + SurvivalDead6 devs · median $31k · 22 announced
  12. + Battle RoyaleDead4 devs · median $16k · 30 announced

All 50 pairs on the MOBA page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
FOR HONOR™ older $29.99 108,492 69% 3.3M $98M (exactly $97,610,252) Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Quebec, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Toronto, Blue Byte)
NARUTO TO BORUTO: SHINOBI STRIKER older $19.99 42,572 84% 1.3M $26M (exactly $25,530,428) Soleil Ltd.
Shape of Dreams $24.99 15,769 89% 473k $12M (exactly $11,822,019) Lizard Smoothie
Awesomenauts older $19.99 11,822 84% 355k $7.1M (exactly $7,089,653) Ronimo Games
Wild Assault $14.99 3,861 68% 116k $1.7M (exactly $1,736,292) Combat Cat Studio
Bleeding Edge older $29.99 1,411 66% 42k $1.3M (exactly $1,269,477) Ninja Theory
BLACK CLOVER: QUARTET KNIGHTS older $49.99 832 75% 25k $1.2M (exactly $1,247,750) ILINX, Inc.
EverSiege: Untold Ages $19.99 1,906 68% 57k $1.1M (exactly $1,143,028) Tindalos Interactive
Command & Conquer™ 4 Tiberian Twilight older $6.96 4,832 16% 145k $1.0M (exactly $1,008,922) EA Los Angeles
Last Remains · EA $19.99 914 51% 27k $548k (exactly $548,126) Earn Alliance
Last Flag $4.99 576 73% 17k $86k (exactly $86,227) Night Street Games
Jelly Bubble $9.99 170 99% 5.1k $51k (exactly $50,949) BINGOBELL
The AC130 slays the zombies. $3.99 377 63% 11k $45k (exactly $45,127) 汪双羽
NeverCOM · EA $4.99 49 95% 1.5k $7.3k (exactly $7,335) Shenzhen Huajian Network Technology Co.… (Shenzhen Huajian Network Technology Co., Ltd)
Adversator $8.99 9 88% 270 $2.4k (exactly $2,427) Paradoks
Guardians Of Gaia $19.99 1 100% 30 $600 (exactly $600) Handmade Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.