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Should I ship an Online Co-Op MOBA?
MOBA + Online Co-Op
Only 19 developers shipped a paid Online Co-Op MOBA in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Shape of Dreams, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 6 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 57 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 9 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $600, ×0.4 the market's $1.3k for a 9 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $60. 57 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper, while revenue is up 625% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $60 (exactly $60) |
|---|---|
| Median | $600 (exactly $600) |
| Top 25% | $86k (exactly $86,227) |
| Top 5% | $12M (exactly $11,822,019) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 19 |
| Released games | 127 |
| Announced | 57 |
| Effort | 9 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 625% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 58%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- MOBA
- effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus a balanced hero roster
- Online Co-Op
- effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines
What it takes
- Effort
- 9 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- MOBA, Online Co-Op; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Co-op, PvE
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Realistic
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 82% positive over 23,632 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $60. 6 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 57 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
MOBA with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RoguelitePoor odds
- + AdventurePoor odds
- + Tower DefensePoor odds
- + FantasyPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + ActionPoor odds
- + SimulationPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + Hero ShooterDead
- + SurvivalDead
- + Battle RoyaleDead
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | FOR HONOR™ | older | $29.99 | 108,492 69% | 3.3M | $98M (exactly $97,610,252) | Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Quebec, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Toronto, Blue Byte) |
| | NARUTO TO BORUTO: SHINOBI STRIKER | older | $19.99 | 42,572 84% | 1.3M | $26M (exactly $25,530,428) | Soleil Ltd. |
| | Shape of Dreams | $24.99 | 15,769 89% | 473k | $12M (exactly $11,822,019) | Lizard Smoothie | |
| | Awesomenauts | older | $19.99 | 11,822 84% | 355k | $7.1M (exactly $7,089,653) | Ronimo Games |
| | Wild Assault | $14.99 | 3,861 68% | 116k | $1.7M (exactly $1,736,292) | Combat Cat Studio | |
| | Bleeding Edge | older | $29.99 | 1,411 66% | 42k | $1.3M (exactly $1,269,477) | Ninja Theory |
| | BLACK CLOVER: QUARTET KNIGHTS | older | $49.99 | 832 75% | 25k | $1.2M (exactly $1,247,750) | ILINX, Inc. |
| | EverSiege: Untold Ages | $19.99 | 1,906 68% | 57k | $1.1M (exactly $1,143,028) | Tindalos Interactive | |
| | Command & Conquer™ 4 Tiberian Twilight | older | $6.96 | 4,832 16% | 145k | $1.0M (exactly $1,008,922) | EA Los Angeles |
| | Last Remains | · EA | $19.99 | 914 51% | 27k | $548k (exactly $548,126) | Earn Alliance |
| | Last Flag | $4.99 | 576 73% | 17k | $86k (exactly $86,227) | Night Street Games | |
| | Jelly Bubble | $9.99 | 170 99% | 5.1k | $51k (exactly $50,949) | BINGOBELL | |
| | The AC130 slays the zombies. | $3.99 | 377 63% | 11k | $45k (exactly $45,127) | 汪双羽 | |
| | NeverCOM | · EA | $4.99 | 49 95% | 1.5k | $7.3k (exactly $7,335) | Shenzhen Huajian Network Technology Co.… (Shenzhen Huajian Network Technology Co., Ltd) |
| | Adversator | $8.99 | 9 88% | 270 | $2.4k (exactly $2,427) | Paradoks | |
| | Guardians Of Gaia | $19.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $600 (exactly $600) | Handmade Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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