Do I ship it?

GamesMOBAMOBA + Adventure

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Adventure MOBA?

MOBA + Adventure

Only 12 developers shipped a paid Adventure MOBA in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Wild Assault, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 44 more are announced, ×8.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 9 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.1k, ×2.3 the market's $1.3k for a 9 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $1.7M, ×1289 the market median. Revenue is up 3005% on the market; 44 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 3005% on the market, 44 announced, ×8.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
MOBA + Adventure
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.4k → $449 → $31k
Outcomes for MOBA + Adventure: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $3.1k (exactly $3,116)
Top 25% $100k (exactly $99,697)
Top 5% $1.7M (exactly $1,736,292)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 95
Announced 44
Effort 9 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 3005% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 42%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

MOBA
effort 9 / 10 · low · competitive netcode plus a balanced hero roster
Adventure
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
9 / 10 · studio only
Systems
MOBA, Adventure
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 65% positive over 5,415 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $3.1k, 1 in 4 over $99k, 1 in 20 over $1.7M.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 7 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 44 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×8.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

MOBA with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelitePoor odds10 devs · median $3.9k · 15 announced
  2. + Tower DefensePoor odds7 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  3. + FantasyPoor odds18 devs · median $2.7k · 85 announced
  4. + Character CustomizationPoor odds10 devs · median $1.8k · 40 announced
  5. + Online Co-OpPoor odds19 devs · median $600 · 57 announced
  6. + Co-opPoor odds21 devs · median $479 · 53 announced
  7. + ActionPoor odds53 devs · median $359 · 170 announced
  8. + SimulationPoor odds12 devs · median $359 · 33 announced
  9. + RPGPoor odds23 devs · median $180 · 73 announced
  10. + Hero ShooterDead5 devs · median $49k · 24 announced
  11. + SurvivalDead6 devs · median $31k · 22 announced
  12. + Battle RoyaleDead4 devs · median $16k · 30 announced

All 50 pairs on the MOBA page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
NARUTO TO BORUTO: SHINOBI STRIKER older $19.99 42,572 84% 1.3M $26M (exactly $25,530,428) Soleil Ltd.
Bishojo Mangekyo Kotowari to Meikyu no Shojo older $29.99 2,718 95% 82k $2.4M (exactly $2,445,385) ωstar, Seikei Production
Wild Assault $14.99 3,861 68% 116k $1.7M (exactly $1,736,292) Combat Cat Studio
BLACK CLOVER: QUARTET KNIGHTS older $49.99 832 75% 25k $1.2M (exactly $1,247,750) ILINX, Inc.
Command & Conquer™ 4 Tiberian Twilight older $6.96 4,832 16% 145k $1.0M (exactly $1,008,922) EA Los Angeles
Last Remains · EA $19.99 914 51% 27k $548k (exactly $548,126) Earn Alliance
Secret Ponchos older $14.99 613 73% 18k $276k (exactly $275,666) Switchblade Monkeys Entertainment
Pennon and Battle $18.99 175 69% 5.3k $100k (exactly $99,697) PB Studio
Bloodsports.TV older $9.99 255 83% 7.7k $76k (exactly $76,424) Toadman Interactive, Fatshark
SPACECOM older $9.99 197 62% 5.9k $59k (exactly $59,041) Flow Combine
The AC130 slays the zombies. $3.99 377 63% 11k $45k (exactly $45,127) 汪双羽
Girl Frame $14.99 69 68% 2.1k $31k (exactly $31,029) Meow Run, Cat Shine
Luna & Sol: Nightmare Ward $7.99 13 76% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) PLAY Mephistowaltz
ShadowStrikeVR · EA $9.99 3 0% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Charming Game Studio
星宇战舰 Astral-Battlecraft $4.99 2 0% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Jilin Code Rabbit Network Game Co.,Ltd.
poo poo war $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) 张程
Steal It $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) LuQ Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.