Do I ship it?

GamesMinigamesMinigames + Space

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Space Minigames game?

Minigames + Space

Only 5 developers shipped a Space Minigames game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Star Wars Outlaws, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced, ×10.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 0 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $53k against a market of $630. 10 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 84.9 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 10 announced, ×10.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Minigames + Space
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Minigames + Space: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $53k (exactly $53,347)
Top 25% $916k (exactly $915,883)
Top 5% $26M (exactly $25,759,120)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 27
Announced 10
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: too few recent games to read.

Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Minigames
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Space
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Minigames
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 678,815 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $53k, 1 in 4 over $910k, 1 in 20 over $25M.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 5 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 10 games are announced against 0 developers who shipped in the last year, ×10.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Minigames with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Strong odds14 devs · median $53k · 6 announced
  2. + Immersive SimStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  3. + Life SimStrong odds20 devs · median $11k · 19 announced
  4. + Visual NovelFair20 devs · median $22k · 19 announced
  5. + SandboxFair9 devs · median $17k · 12 announced
  6. + RomanceFair14 devs · median $11k · 15 announced
  7. + ManagementFair22 devs · median $7.4k · 15 announced
  8. + ExplorationFair31 devs · median $6.7k · 42 announced
  9. + Action-AdventureFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  10. + Character CustomizationFair27 devs · median $5.7k · 34 announced
  11. + HorrorFair12 devs · median $4.0k · 12 announced
  12. + MagicFair8 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced

All 58 pairs on the Minigames page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Among Us older $4.99 659,003 92% 20M $99M (exactly $98,652,749) Innersloth
Star Wars Outlaws $69.99 12,268 71% 368k $26M (exactly $25,759,120) Massive Entertainment – A Ubisoft Studio
Among Us 3D $9.99 3,056 72% 92k $916k (exactly $915,883) Schell Games, Innersloth
Among Us 3D: VR older $9.99 2,449 75% 73k $734k (exactly $733,965) Schell Games, Innersloth, Robot Teddy
Filament older $16.99 623 86% 19k $318k (exactly $317,543) Beard Envy
Stranded in Space · EA older $14.99 373 80% 11k $168k (exactly $167,738) Wildman
Rover Mechanic Simulator older $11.99 376 82% 11k $135k (exactly $135,247) ▲ Pyramid Games
1 Trait Escape $9.99 178 97% 5.3k $53k (exactly $53,347) Andrew Katz, Jeremy Collette
Among Waifus 18+ older $6.99 241 58% 7.2k $51k (exactly $50,538) Romantic Room
Mimicry older $4.99 248 78% 7.4k $37k (exactly $37,126) Euphoria Games
Odania Sports Arena $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Odania GmbH
Quodan: Treachery on the Arheid $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) AnonymousTurtle Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.