Do I ship it?

GamesMinigamesMinigames + Sci-fi

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Sci-fi Minigames game?

Minigames + Sci-fi

Only 12 developers shipped a Sci-fi Minigames game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Star Wars Outlaws, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 7 developers shipped in the last year and 13 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 13 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Minigames + Sci-fi
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Minigames + Sci-fi: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $14,032)
Top 5% $26M (exactly $25,759,120)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 45
Announced 13
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Minigames
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Sci-fi
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Minigames
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 71% positive over 15,384 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $300, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $25M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Minigames with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LGBTQ+Strong odds14 devs · median $53k · 6 announced
  2. + Immersive SimStrong odds15 devs · median $24k · 11 announced
  3. + Life SimStrong odds20 devs · median $11k · 19 announced
  4. + Visual NovelFair20 devs · median $22k · 19 announced
  5. + SandboxFair9 devs · median $17k · 12 announced
  6. + RomanceFair14 devs · median $11k · 15 announced
  7. + ManagementFair22 devs · median $7.4k · 15 announced
  8. + ExplorationFair31 devs · median $6.7k · 42 announced
  9. + Action-AdventureFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  10. + Character CustomizationFair27 devs · median $5.7k · 34 announced
  11. + HorrorFair12 devs · median $4.0k · 12 announced
  12. + MagicFair8 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced

All 58 pairs on the Minigames page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Among Us older $4.99 659,003 92% 20M $99M (exactly $98,652,749) Innersloth
Star Wars Outlaws $69.99 12,268 71% 368k $26M (exactly $25,759,120) Massive Entertainment – A Ubisoft Studio
Among Us 3D $9.99 3,056 72% 92k $916k (exactly $915,883) Schell Games, Innersloth
Among Us 3D: VR older $9.99 2,449 75% 73k $734k (exactly $733,965) Schell Games, Innersloth, Robot Teddy
McPixel 3 older $9.99 1,199 96% 36k $359k (exactly $359,340) Sos Sosowski
Filament older $16.99 623 86% 19k $318k (exactly $317,543) Beard Envy
Stranded in Space · EA older $14.99 373 80% 11k $168k (exactly $167,738) Wildman
Rover Mechanic Simulator older $11.99 376 82% 11k $135k (exactly $135,247) ▲ Pyramid Games
To Trust an Incubus older $19.99 152 84% 4.6k $91k (exactly $91,154) Y Press Games
Among Waifus 18+ older $6.99 241 58% 7.2k $51k (exactly $50,538) Romantic Room
Bittersweet Birthday $17.99 26 92% 780 $14k (exactly $14,032) World Eater Games
Solvimus $19.99 11 90% 330 $6.6k (exactly $6,597) Iocus GmbH
Project Mnemosyne · EA $6.50 18 55% 540 $3.5k (exactly $3,510) Fint
Odania Sports Arena $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Odania GmbH
The Control Group $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) The Control Group, pl4netary
Quodan: Treachery on the Arheid $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) AnonymousTurtle Games
Terminal $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Clueless Dev
Super Dragon Ninja $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Sean Guidry

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.