Do I ship it?

GamesMetroidvaniaMetroidvania + Zombies

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Zombie Metroidvania?

Metroidvania + Zombies

Only 12 developers shipped a Zombie Metroidvania in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, SENARA: The Sacrament, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×5.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.0 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $27k, ×44 the market median. Revenue is up 200% on the market; 27 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 200% on the market, 27 announced, ×5.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Metroidvania + Zombies
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $360 → $29k → $2.9k → $1.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Metroidvania + Zombies: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,256)
Top 25% $9.6k (exactly $9,590)
Top 5% $28k (exactly $27,525)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 48
Announced 27
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 200% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Metroidvania
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Zombies
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Metroidvania
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 70% positive over 172 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $9.5k, 1 in 20 over $27k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 9 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Metroidvania with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ParkourPoor odds8 devs · median $80k · 40 announced
  2. + Online Co-OpPoor odds12 devs · median $74k · 15 announced
  3. + CraftingPoor odds10 devs · median $34k · 61 announced
  4. + SimulationPoor odds16 devs · median $32k · 35 announced
  5. + LovecraftianPoor odds8 devs · median $28k · 29 announced
  6. + CollectathonPoor odds30 devs · median $16k · 78 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds17 devs · median $15k · 33 announced
  8. + Survival HorrorPoor odds14 devs · median $14k · 46 announced
  9. + Souls-likePoor odds102 devs · median $14k · 335 announced
  10. + VampiresPoor odds16 devs · median $14k · 29 announced
  11. + Inventory ManagementPoor odds12 devs · median $14k · 42 announced
  12. + JRPGPoor odds16 devs · median $12k · 37 announced

All 90 pairs on the Metroidvania page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ENDER LILIES: Quietus of the Knights older $24.99 43,092 93% 1.3M $32M (exactly $32,306,072) Live Wire, Adglobe
DEAD OR SCHOOL older $24.99 2,607 84% 78k $2.0M (exactly $1,954,468) Studio Nanafushi
Escape Dead Island older $14.99 1,261 60% 38k $567k (exactly $567,072) Fatshark
DLC Quest older $2.99 4,994 87% 150k $448k (exactly $447,962) Going Loud Studios
Dark Light older $16.99 622 77% 19k $317k (exactly $317,033) Mirari&Co.
Flynn: Son of Crimson older $19.99 370 84% 11k $222k (exactly $221,889) Studio Thunderhorse
SiNiSistar Lite Version older $4.99 858 85% 26k $128k (exactly $128,443) Uu
Cursed Castilla (Maldita Castilla EX) older $11.99 336 92% 10k $121k (exactly $120,859) Locomalito, Gryzor87
Mayhem in Single Valley older $14.99 178 85% 5.3k $80k (exactly $80,047) Fluxscopic Ltd.
Genopanic older $8.99 271 73% 8.1k $73k (exactly $73,089) Mobirate
SENARA: The Sacrament $17.99 51 74% 1.5k $28k (exactly $27,525) Influsion Inc.
VonGarland Castle : Beyond Blood $14.99 42 57% 1.3k $19k (exactly $18,887) Ash Jackson
Stone 4 Souls $9.99 32 78% 960 $9.6k (exactly $9,590) Adeilson S Vieira
Drealegy $10.00 14 64% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,200) ArcWillow
Blight Night $15.99 6 66% 180 $2.9k (exactly $2,878) Famous Games LLC
Ex-Master, Zombie $2.99 14 71% 420 $1.3k (exactly $1,256) HugePixel
Anzu Castle Gracula $4.99 5 100% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Rainbow Cemetery
Full Effect $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Silverheaven Interactive
Praise To The Moon $4.99 4 50% 120 $599 (exactly $599) PolarCatStudio, MayaraCrulcifer
Rusty Flesh $7.99 2 100% 60 $479 (exactly $479) Wasteland Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.