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Should I ship a Collectathon Metroidvania?
Collectathon + Metroidvania
Of 30 developers who shipped a Collectathon Metroidvania in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 78 more are announced, ×4.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $16k, ×33 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $390k, ×836 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 78 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.7k (exactly $1,676) |
|---|---|
| Median | $16k (exactly $15,740) |
| Top 25% | $92k (exactly $91,754) |
| Top 5% | $397k (exactly $397,085) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 30 |
| Released games | 92 |
| Announced | 78 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Collectathon
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Metroidvania
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Collectathon, Metroidvania; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Adventure, Action
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Cute, Pixel Graphics
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 5,300 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. 8 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 78 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Collectathon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Job SimulatorStrong odds
- + CapitalismStrong odds
- + Turn-BasedFair
- + EconomyFair
- + ManagementFair
- + CrimeFair
- + Level EditorFair
- + Artificial IntelligenceFair
- + SokobanFair
- + MythologyFair
- + UnderwaterFair
- + Combat RacingFair
Comparable games
Supraland 2019 · $7.4M 
Supraland Six Inches Under 2022 · $2.4M 
Ogu and the Secret Forest 2024 · $1.4M 
Supraworld 2025 · EA · $1.3M 
Crystal Project 2022 · $1.1M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Supraland | older | $19.99 | 12,376 95% | 371k | $7.4M (exactly $7,421,887) | Supra Games |
| | Supraland Six Inches Under | older | $19.99 | 3,975 96% | 119k | $2.4M (exactly $2,383,808) | Supra Games |
| | Ogu and the Secret Forest | older | $24.99 | 1,817 94% | 55k | $1.4M (exactly $1,362,205) | Moonlab Studio, Sinkhole Studio |
| | Supraworld | · EA | $29.99 | 1,471 91% | 44k | $1.3M (exactly $1,323,459) | Supra Games |
| | Crystal Project | older | $13.99 | 2,510 91% | 75k | $1.1M (exactly $1,053,447) | Andrew Willman |
 | Little Noah: Scion of Paradise | older | $14.99 | 2,172 92% | 65k | $977k (exactly $976,748) | Cygames, Inc., Grounding Inc. |
 | Isles of Sea and Sky | older | $19.99 | 1,538 91% | 46k | $922k (exactly $922,339) | Cicada Games |
 | Promenade | older | $19.99 | 841 94% | 25k | $504k (exactly $504,348) | Holy Cap |
 | A Castle Full of Cats | older | $3.99 | 4,073 99% | 122k | $488k (exactly $487,538) | Devcats |
 | Succubus Successor: Delilah's Juicy Journey | $14.99 | 883 90% | 26k | $397k (exactly $397,085) | Ramen Cat Studio, 樹画祭 | |
 | Eternity Egg | · EA | $19.99 | 577 82% | 17k | $346k (exactly $346,027) | USERLANDS |
 | RUBATO | $19.99 | 441 97% | 13k | $264k (exactly $264,468) | dconn | |
 | Tomba! 2: The Evil Swine Return Special Edition | $19.99 | 319 91% | 9.6k | $191k (exactly $191,304) | Limited Run Games, Whoopee Camp | |
 | Broken Reality 2000 | $14.99 | 371 76% | 11k | $167k (exactly $166,839) | Dynamic Media Triad | |
 | A Planet Full of Cats | $7.99 | 581 89% | 17k | $139k (exactly $139,266) | Devcats | |
 | The Girl from Arkanya | $19.99 | 153 92% | 4.6k | $92k (exactly $91,754) | Arkanya Games | |
 | ROLLING STAR | $11.99 | 216 96% | 6.5k | $78k (exactly $77,695) | NUL2 STUDIO | |
 | Valkyrie Saga | $7.99 | 288 92% | 8.6k | $69k (exactly $69,034) | Public Void |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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