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Should I ship an Online Co-Op Metroidvania?
Online Co-Op + Metroidvania
Only 12 developers shipped an Online Co-Op Metroidvania in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Windblown, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $74k, ×50 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $6.7M, ×4537 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 15 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $1.5k (exactly $1,497) |
|---|---|
| Median | $74k (exactly $74,200) |
| Top 25% | $1.6M (exactly $1,622,159) |
| Top 5% | $6.8M (exactly $6,796,780) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 12 |
| Released games | 30 |
| Announced | 15 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $14.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Online Co-Op
- effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines
- Metroidvania
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Online Co-Op, Metroidvania
- Price point
- $14.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 15,728 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 4 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Online Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Bullet HeavenStrong odds
- + Escape RoomFair
- + TypingFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + Extraction ShooterPoor odds
- + TransportationPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + World War IIPoor odds
- + City BuilderPoor odds
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Windblown | · EA | $24.99 | 9,066 88% | 272k | $6.8M (exactly $6,796,780) | Motion Twin |
| | Revenge of the Savage Planet | $29.99 | 2,845 86% | 85k | $2.6M (exactly $2,559,646) | Raccoon Logic Studios Inc. | |
| | UnEpic | older | $12.99 | 5,384 90% | 162k | $2.1M (exactly $2,098,145) | @unepic_fran |
| | Vagante | older | $14.99 | 4,118 90% | 124k | $1.9M (exactly $1,851,865) | Nuke Nine |
| | System Shock 2: 25th Anniversary Remaster | $29.99 | 1,803 87% | 54k | $1.6M (exactly $1,622,159) | Nightdive Studios, Looking Glass Studio… (Nightdive Studios, Looking Glass Studios, Irrational Games) | |
| | Dragon Marked For Death | older | $39.99 | 985 77% | 30k | $1.2M (exactly $1,181,704) | INTI CREATES CO., LTD. |
| | Salt and Sacrifice | older | $19.99 | 1,738 62% | 52k | $1.0M (exactly $1,042,279) | Devoured Studios, Ska Studios |
| | LOST EPIC | older | $17.99 | 1,055 71% | 32k | $569k (exactly $569,384) | One or Eight, Team EARTHWARS |
| | JUMP KING QUEST | $14.99 | 1,202 88% | 36k | $541k (exactly $540,539) | Nexile | |
| | Gal Guardians: Servants of the Dark | $29.99 | 560 65% | 17k | $504k (exactly $503,832) | INTI CREATES CO., LTD. | |
| | Crimson Capes | $14.99 | 165 90% | 5.0k | $74k (exactly $74,200) | Poor Locke | |
| | Q2 HUMANITY | $8.99 | 56 89% | 1.7k | $15k (exactly $15,103) | liica, Inc. | |
| | DREGS | · EA | $7.99 | 16 100% | 480 | $3.8k (exactly $3,835) | T-Minus Zero Entertainment |
| | AVTale | $4.99 | 10 60% | 300 | $1.5k (exactly $1,497) | OnePersonDevelopment | |
| | You Alone Can Defeat Evil | · EA | $2.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $449 (exactly $449) | Edward Marchioni, Emily Dawn Gilliland |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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