Do I ship it?

GamesOnline Co-OpOnline Co-Op + Metroidvania

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Online Co-Op Metroidvania?

Online Co-Op + Metroidvania

Only 12 developers shipped an Online Co-Op Metroidvania in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Windblown, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $74k, ×50 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $6.7M, ×4537 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 15 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 49.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 15 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Online Co-Op + Metroidvania
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Online Co-Op + Metroidvania: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $1.5k (exactly $1,497)
Median $74k (exactly $74,200)
Top 25% $1.6M (exactly $1,622,159)
Top 5% $6.8M (exactly $6,796,780)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 30
Announced 15
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Online Co-Op
effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines
Metroidvania
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Online Co-Op, Metroidvania
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 15,728 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.5k, median $74k, 1 in 4 over $1.6M, 1 in 20 over $6.7M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 4 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Online Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Bullet HeavenStrong odds27 devs · median $9.3k · 38 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair31 devs · median $14k · 32 announced
  3. + TypingFair16 devs · median $5.0k · 12 announced
  4. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 34 announced
  5. + Point & ClickFair28 devs · median $1.7k · 34 announced
  6. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds29 devs · median $443k · 70 announced
  7. + TransportationPoor odds14 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  8. + JRPGPoor odds11 devs · median $346k · 16 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds72 devs · median $217k · 139 announced
  10. + World War IIPoor odds10 devs · median $188k · 18 announced
  11. + City BuilderPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds20 devs · median $95k · 18 announced

All 211 pairs on the Online Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Windblown · EA $24.99 9,066 88% 272k $6.8M (exactly $6,796,780) Motion Twin
Revenge of the Savage Planet $29.99 2,845 86% 85k $2.6M (exactly $2,559,646) Raccoon Logic Studios Inc.
UnEpic older $12.99 5,384 90% 162k $2.1M (exactly $2,098,145) @unepic_fran
Vagante older $14.99 4,118 90% 124k $1.9M (exactly $1,851,865) Nuke Nine
System Shock 2: 25th Anniversary Remaster $29.99 1,803 87% 54k $1.6M (exactly $1,622,159) Nightdive Studios, Looking Glass Studio… (Nightdive Studios, Looking Glass Studios, Irrational Games)
Dragon Marked For Death older $39.99 985 77% 30k $1.2M (exactly $1,181,704) INTI CREATES CO., LTD.
Salt and Sacrifice older $19.99 1,738 62% 52k $1.0M (exactly $1,042,279) Devoured Studios, Ska Studios
LOST EPIC older $17.99 1,055 71% 32k $569k (exactly $569,384) One or Eight, Team EARTHWARS
JUMP KING QUEST $14.99 1,202 88% 36k $541k (exactly $540,539) Nexile
Gal Guardians: Servants of the Dark $29.99 560 65% 17k $504k (exactly $503,832) INTI CREATES CO., LTD.
Crimson Capes $14.99 165 90% 5.0k $74k (exactly $74,200) Poor Locke
Q2 HUMANITY $8.99 56 89% 1.7k $15k (exactly $15,103) liica, Inc.
DREGS · EA $7.99 16 100% 480 $3.8k (exactly $3,835) T-Minus Zero Entertainment
AVTale $4.99 10 60% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) OnePersonDevelopment
You Alone Can Defeat Evil · EA $2.99 5 100% 150 $449 (exactly $449) Edward Marchioni, Emily Dawn Gilliland

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.