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Should I ship a Vampire Metroidvania?
Metroidvania + Vampires
Only 16 developers shipped a Vampire Metroidvania in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Legacy of Kain: Ascendance, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $14k, ×22 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.8k; 1 in 20 cleared $250k, ×404 the market median. Revenue is up 195% on the market; 29 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.8k (exactly $1,794) |
|---|---|
| Median | $14k (exactly $13,941) |
| Top 25% | $27k (exactly $27,365) |
| Top 5% | $254k (exactly $253,673) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 16 |
| Released games | 41 |
| Announced | 29 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $10.00 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 195% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Metroidvania
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Vampires
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Metroidvania; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, 2D Platformer
- Price point
- $10.00 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Side Scroller
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $10.00.
The top 10 games average 63% positive over 1,242 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.8k. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Metroidvania with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + ParkourPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
- + SimulationPoor odds
- + LovecraftianPoor odds
- + CollectathonPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Survival HorrorPoor odds
- + Souls-likePoor odds
- + Inventory ManagementPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
- + Female ProtagonistPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Bloodstained: Ritual of the Night | older | $39.99 | 29,588 93% | 888k | $35M (exactly $35,496,724) | ArtPlay |
| | Castlevania: Lords of Shadow – Ultimate Edition | older | $29.99 | 7,998 80% | 240k | $7.2M (exactly $7,195,801) | MercurySteam, Climax Studios |
| | Castlevania: Lords of Shadow 2 | older | $39.99 | 4,874 84% | 146k | $5.8M (exactly $5,847,338) | MercurySteam |
| | The Last Faith | older | $27.99 | 4,661 83% | 140k | $3.9M (exactly $3,913,842) | Kumi Souls Games |
| | Castlevania Dominus Collection | older | $24.99 | 2,362 94% | 71k | $1.8M (exactly $1,770,791) | KONAMI |
| | Castlevania Advance Collection | older | $19.99 | 2,149 91% | 64k | $1.3M (exactly $1,288,755) | KONAMI |
| | Bloodstained: Curse of the Moon | older | $9.99 | 3,823 94% | 115k | $1.1M (exactly $1,145,753) | INTI CREATES CO., LTD. |
| | Castlevania Anniversary Collection | older | $19.99 | 1,798 80% | 54k | $1.1M (exactly $1,078,261) | KONAMI |
| | Castlevania: Lords of Shadow – Mirror of Fate HD | older | $14.99 | 2,161 84% | 65k | $972k (exactly $971,802) | MercurySteam |
| | The Dishwasher: Vampire Smile | older | $9.99 | 1,776 95% | 53k | $532k (exactly $532,267) | Ska Studios |
| | Legacy of Kain: Ascendance | $19.99 | 423 27% | 13k | $254k (exactly $253,673) | Bit Bot Media | |
| | Chronicles of the Wolf | $19.99 | 417 82% | 13k | $250k (exactly $250,075) | Migami Games | |
| | Beyond the Ice Palace 2 | $19.99 | 77 63% | 2.3k | $46k (exactly $46,177) | STORYBIRD Studio | |
| | VELASTER | · EA | $10.99 | 83 87% | 2.5k | $27k (exactly $27,365) | ODYSSEYER |
| | VonGarland Castle : Beyond Blood | $14.99 | 42 57% | 1.3k | $19k (exactly $18,887) | Ash Jackson | |
| | Janosik 2 | $8.99 | 70 95% | 2.1k | $19k (exactly $18,879) | Onix Games | |
| | PizzaBoy | $9.99 | 53 94% | 1.6k | $16k (exactly $15,884) | Breadless | |
| | Vampire Hunter: Nightrise | $14.99 | 31 93% | 930 | $14k (exactly $13,941) | Over The Moon | |
| | Stone 4 Souls | $9.99 | 32 78% | 960 | $9.6k (exactly $9,590) | Adeilson S Vieira | |
| | Drealegy | $10.00 | 14 64% | 420 | $4.2k (exactly $4,200) | ArcWillow |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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