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Should I ship a Metroidvania Walking Simulator?
Metroidvania + Walking Simulator
Only 5 developers shipped a Metroidvania Walking Simulator in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Broken Reality 2000, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×7.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $3.0k against a market of $480. 23 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $270 (exactly $270) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) |
| Top 25% | $25k (exactly $24,819) |
| Top 5% | $167k (exactly $166,839) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 5 |
| Released games | 31 |
| Announced | 23 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Metroidvania
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Walking Simulator
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Metroidvania, Walking Simulator
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 3,206 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $270. 23 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Metroidvania with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + ParkourPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
- + SimulationPoor odds
- + LovecraftianPoor odds
- + CollectathonPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Survival HorrorPoor odds
- + Souls-likePoor odds
- + VampiresPoor odds
- + Inventory ManagementPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Dreaming Sarah | older | $5.99 | 2,301 92% | 69k | $413k (exactly $413,490) | Asteristic Game Studio, Anthony Septim |
| | Broken Reality 2000 | $14.99 | 371 76% | 11k | $167k (exactly $166,839) | Dynamic Media Triad | |
| | Pine Hearts | older | $12.99 | 78 94% | 2.3k | $30k (exactly $30,397) | Hyper Luminal Games Ltd |
| | Quantum Void | $11.99 | 69 95% | 2.1k | $25k (exactly $24,819) | TacNours | |
| | Cybermotion | · EA older | $7.99 | 77 80% | 2.3k | $18k (exactly $18,457) | Lukayson |
| | Lunnye Devitsy | older | $4.99 | 111 69% | 3.3k | $17k (exactly $16,617) | Boss Baddie |
| | Hero's Spirit | older | $5.99 | 62 90% | 1.9k | $11k (exactly $11,141) | mod.kitchen |
| | Maptroid: Worlds | older | $2.99 | 84 94% | 2.5k | $7.5k (exactly $7,535) | lozzajp |
| | Simple Game | older | $6.99 | 24 91% | 720 | $5.0k (exactly $5,033) | SVGames |
| | Falta | older | $4.99 | 29 96% | 870 | $4.3k (exactly $4,341) | Revolto Software |
| | Star Mission: Remote Sectors | $9.99 | 10 80% | 300 | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) | Ralph Schaedler | |
| | Low_Signal | $8.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $270 (exactly $270) | Jonathan Abat | |
| | Cats Ritual | $2.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Source Byte, Nikodem Swider |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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