Games › Metroidvania › Metroidvania + Underground
Should I ship an Underground Metroidvania?
Metroidvania + Underground
Only 14 developers shipped an Underground Metroidvania in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Shadow Labyrinth, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×5.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.0k, ×6.3 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $240k, ×525 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 35 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $2.1k (exactly $2,096) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) |
| Top 25% | $42k (exactly $41,822) |
| Top 5% | $249k (exactly $249,217) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 40 |
| Announced | 35 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Metroidvania
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Underground
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Metroidvania; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action-Adventure, 2D Platformer
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 72% positive over 920 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.1k. 6 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Metroidvania with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + ParkourPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
- + SimulationPoor odds
- + LovecraftianPoor odds
- + CollectathonPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Survival HorrorPoor odds
- + Souls-likePoor odds
- + VampiresPoor odds
- + Inventory ManagementPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | HAAK | older | $17.99 | 3,149 89% | 94k | $1.7M (exactly $1,699,515) | Blingame |
| | Frogmonster | older | $19.99 | 585 96% | 18k | $351k (exactly $350,824) | Ben Jungwirth |
| | Shadow Labyrinth | $29.99 | 277 54% | 8.3k | $249k (exactly $249,217) | Bandai Namco Studios Inc. | |
| | The Siege and the Sandfox | $14.99 | 180 64% | 5.4k | $81k (exactly $80,946) | Cardboard Sword | |
| | PERFECT CELLS PROJECT | older | $9.99 | 226 79% | 6.8k | $68k (exactly $67,732) | ShinshiMoustache |
| | Lord Ambermaze | $14.99 | 131 91% | 3.9k | $59k (exactly $58,911) | Potata Company | |
| | Elmarion: the Lost Temple | $14.99 | 93 67% | 2.8k | $42k (exactly $41,822) | Fleon Games | |
| | Myastere -Ruins of Deazniff- | older | $19.99 | 26 57% | 780 | $16k (exactly $15,592) | SUCCESS Corporation, Studio Saizensen C… (SUCCESS Corporation, Studio Saizensen Co., Ltd.) |
| | Rusty Rangers | $14.99 | 27 88% | 810 | $12k (exactly $12,142) | Fantastica! | |
| | Thread | older | $10.99 | 24 83% | 720 | $7.9k (exactly $7,913) | Medow |
| | Quarion | $0.99 | 166 94% | 5.0k | $4.9k (exactly $4,930) | Zejoant | |
| | Souno's Curse | $9.99 | 10 60% | 300 | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) | Kiro Team | |
| | Plungeez | $9.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) | Team Zeroth | |
| | Blast Hopper | $5.99 | 12 66% | 360 | $2.2k (exactly $2,156) | Heartscape Games | |
| | Nothing Beyond This Point | $4.99 | 14 100% | 420 | $2.1k (exactly $2,096) | Dieuwt |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.