Games › Metroidvania › Metroidvania + Supernatural
Should I ship a Supernatural Metroidvania?
Metroidvania + Supernatural
Only 10 developers shipped a Supernatural Metroidvania in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Voidwrought, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 45 more are announced, ×9.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $5.5k, ×12 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $560k, ×1182 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 45 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $300 (exactly $300) |
|---|---|
| Median | $5.5k (exactly $5,544) |
| Top 25% | $9.0k (exactly $8,994) |
| Top 5% | $561k (exactly $561,319) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 37 |
| Announced | 45 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Metroidvania
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Supernatural
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Metroidvania
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 9 games average 79% positive over 1,105 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 45 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×9.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Metroidvania with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + ParkourPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
- + SimulationPoor odds
- + LovecraftianPoor odds
- + CollectathonPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Survival HorrorPoor odds
- + Souls-likePoor odds
- + VampiresPoor odds
- + Inventory ManagementPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
Comparable games
CONTROL Ultimate Edition 2020 · $61M 
ASTLIBRA Revision 2022 · $23M 
Infernax 2022 · $1.3M 
The Last Case of Benedict Fox Definitive Edition 2023 · $589k 
Voidwrought 2024 · $561k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | CONTROL Ultimate Edition | older | $39.99 | 50,602 86% | 1.5M | $61M (exactly $60,707,219) | Remedy Entertainment |
| | ASTLIBRA Revision | older | $24.99 | 30,262 95% | 908k | $23M (exactly $22,687,421) | KEIZO |
| | Infernax | older | $19.99 | 2,128 93% | 64k | $1.3M (exactly $1,276,162) | Berzerk Studio |
| | The Last Case of Benedict Fox Definitive Edition | older | $24.99 | 786 71% | 24k | $589k (exactly $589,264) | Plot Twist |
| | Voidwrought | $19.99 | 936 77% | 28k | $561k (exactly $561,319) | Powersnake | |
 | The Darkest Tales | older | $19.99 | 697 69% | 21k | $418k (exactly $417,991) | Trinity Team |
 | Dreaming Sarah | older | $5.99 | 2,301 92% | 69k | $413k (exactly $413,490) | Asteristic Game Studio, Anthony Septim |
 | Moonlight Pulse | older | $11.99 | 201 92% | 6.0k | $72k (exactly $72,300) | Seafloor Games LLC |
 | THE GOOD OLD DAYS | $19.99 | 60 85% | 1.8k | $36k (exactly $35,982) | ヨコゴシステムズ | |
 | GHOST at DAWN | older | $19.99 | 34 76% | 1.0k | $20k (exactly $20,390) | Blue and Red Games |
 | Particle Hearts | $14.99 | 20 90% | 600 | $9.0k (exactly $8,994) | Underwater Fire | |
 | Oblitus mortis | $4.99 | 49 93% | 1.5k | $7.3k (exactly $7,335) | Oblitus mortis | |
 | Sahir: Shiv of Memories | $8.80 | 21 85% | 630 | $5.5k (exactly $5,544) | HCY Games | |
 | Cursed Broom | $9.99 | 15 86% | 450 | $4.5k (exactly $4,496) | Cursed Creations | |
 | The Exorcists | $9.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Kai | |
 | YOIN: The shadow of dawn | $5.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $180 (exactly $180) | Hypothesis Games | |
 | Times Dungeon | $1.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $119 (exactly $119) | Mad Quark | |
 | Dissociative | · EA | $12.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | James H. Van der Meulen |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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