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Should I ship a Precision Platformer Metroidvania?
Metroidvania + Precision Platformer
Of 58 developers who shipped a Precision Platformer Metroidvania in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 136 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.3k, ×9.1 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $960; 1 in 20 cleared $190k, ×418 the market median. Revenue is up 15% on the market; 136 games are announced against 36 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $958 (exactly $958) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.3k (exactly $4,341) |
| Top 25% | $17k (exactly $17,089) |
| Top 5% | $199k (exactly $198,747) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 58 |
| Released games | 177 |
| Announced | 136 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 15% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Metroidvania
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Precision Platformer
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Metroidvania, Precision Platformer; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Platformer, Action
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Difficult
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 6,635 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $960. 9 in 10 of the 25 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 136 games are announced against 36 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Metroidvania with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + ParkourPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
- + SimulationPoor odds
- + LovecraftianPoor odds
- + CollectathonPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Survival HorrorPoor odds
- + Souls-likePoor odds
- + VampiresPoor odds
- + Inventory ManagementPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Prince of Persia The Lost Crown | older | $29.99 | 6,754 84% | 203k | $6.1M (exactly $6,076,574) | Ubisoft Montpellier |
| | MIO: Memories in Orbit | $19.99 | 4,300 83% | 129k | $2.6M (exactly $2,578,710) | Douze Dixièmes | |
| | Aeterna Noctis | older | $29.99 | 1,699 76% | 51k | $1.5M (exactly $1,528,590) | Aeternum Game Studios S.L |
| | The End Is Nigh | older | $14.99 | 3,291 93% | 99k | $1.5M (exactly $1,479,963) | Edmund McMillen, Tyler Glaiel |
| | Blue Fire | older | $19.99 | 1,908 83% | 57k | $1.1M (exactly $1,144,228) | Robi Studios |
| | VVVVVV | older | $4.99 | 6,657 96% | 200k | $997k (exactly $996,553) | Terry Cavanagh |
| | Rusted Moss | older | $19.99 | 1,575 88% | 47k | $945k (exactly $944,527) | Emlise, happysquared, sunnydaze |
| | Bō: Path of the Teal Lotus | older | $19.99 | 1,398 82% | 42k | $838k (exactly $838,381) | Squid Shock Studios, Christopher Stair,… (Squid Shock Studios, Christopher Stair, Trevor Youngquist) |
| | Unbound: Worlds Apart | older | $19.99 | 1,200 82% | 36k | $720k (exactly $719,640) | Alien Pixel Studios |
| | La-Mulana 2 | older | $24.99 | 818 83% | 25k | $613k (exactly $613,255) | NIGORO |
| | JUMP KING QUEST | $14.99 | 1,202 88% | 36k | $541k (exactly $540,539) | Nexile | |
| | BAIONLENJA | · EA | $12.99 | 510 97% | 15k | $199k (exactly $198,747) | BAION |
| | Before I Go | $19.99 | 79 83% | 2.4k | $47k (exactly $47,376) | J's Labratory | |
| | Derelict Star | $9.99 | 155 94% | 4.7k | $46k (exactly $46,454) | gate | |
| | Beyond the Ice Palace 2 | $19.99 | 77 63% | 2.3k | $46k (exactly $46,177) | STORYBIRD Studio | |
| | Aggelos 2 | $19.99 | 61 73% | 1.8k | $37k (exactly $36,582) | WONDERBOY BOBI | |
| | Alruna and the Necro-Industrialists | $9.99 | 113 84% | 3.4k | $34k (exactly $33,866) | Neckbolt | |
| | Maseylia : Echoes of the Past | $16.99 | 61 80% | 1.8k | $31k (exactly $31,092) | Sol Brothers | |
| | Beholgar 2 | $11.99 | 77 80% | 2.3k | $28k (exactly $27,697) | Serkan Bakar |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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