Do I ship it?

Games › Roguelike Deckbuilder › Roguelike Deckbuilder + Medieval

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Medieval Roguelike Deckbuilder?

Roguelike Deckbuilder + Medieval

Of 44 developers who shipped a Medieval Roguelike Deckbuilder in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 70 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $14k, ×29 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $4.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $200k, ×424 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 70 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 29.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 70 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Roguelike Deckbuilder + Medieval
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 44
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.3k → $449 → $12k → $40k → $14k → $18k (still earning) → $4.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Roguelike Deckbuilder + Medieval: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 44
Bottom 30% $4.2k (exactly $4,197)
Median $14k (exactly $13,755)
Top 25% $89k (exactly $88,591)
Top 5% $201k (exactly $201,196)
Developers, 2 yr 44
Released games 67
Announced 70
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Roguelike Deckbuilder
effort 3 / 10 · high · deckbuilding rules plus procedural runs
Medieval
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Roguelike Deckbuilder; 9 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Deckbuilding, Roguelite
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.49 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.49 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 6,111 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $4.2k, median $14k, 1 in 4 over $88k, 1 in 20 over $200k.

3 in 10 developers made under $4.2k. 5 in 10 of the 25 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 70 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Roguelike Deckbuilder with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + PhysicsStrong odds31 devs · median $8.1k · 30 announced
  2. + Inventory ManagementFair43 devs · median $12k · 47 announced
  3. + DiceFair36 devs · median $9.6k · 53 announced
  4. + Tactical RPGFair24 devs · median $9.0k · 29 announced
  5. + Perma DeathFair65 devs · median $8.1k · 66 announced
  6. + ExplorationFair22 devs · median $8.1k · 26 announced
  7. + Female ProtagonistFair35 devs · median $7.8k · 50 announced
  8. + MythologyFair22 devs · median $6.9k · 25 announced
  9. + ArcadeFair59 devs · median $4.3k · 88 announced
  10. + PuzzleFair40 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  11. + CyberpunkLong shot17 devs · median $179 · 20 announced
  12. + PvPPoor odds17 devs · median $56k · 42 announced

All 60 pairs on the Roguelike Deckbuilder page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

As We Descend 2025 · EA · $801k Vivid Knight 2021 · $735k Overlooting 2025 · $421k GWENT: Rogue Mage (Single-Player Expansion) 2022 · $379k Poker Quest: Swords and Spades 2022 · $308k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
As We Descend · EA $19.99 1,336 86% 40k $801k (exactly $801,199) Box Dragon
Vivid Knight older $14.99 1,635 89% 49k $735k (exactly $735,260) Asobism.Co.,Ltd
Overlooting $9.99 1,405 81% 42k $421k (exactly $421,078) Posing Possums
GWENT: Rogue Mage (Single-Player Expansion) older $9.99 1,266 54% 38k $379k (exactly $379,420) CD PROJEKT RED
Poker Quest: Swords and Spades older $14.99 684 86% 21k $308k (exactly $307,595) Playsaurus
Choice of Life: Middle Ages older $4.99 1,752 89% 53k $262k (exactly $262,274) Blazing Planet Studio
Three Kingdoms: The Blood Moon $8.99 746 91% 22k $201k (exactly $201,196) Kygua Tech
Choice of Life: Middle Ages 2 older $6.99 935 94% 28k $196k (exactly $196,070) Blazing Planet Studio
The Royal Writ $14.99 425 80% 13k $191k (exactly $191,122) Save Sloth Studios
Apokerlypse $9.99 612 81% 18k $183k (exactly $183,416) Breaker Games
Feed the Scorchpot $14.99 371 87% 11k $167k (exactly $166,839) Moravian
Dawncaster | The RPG Cardventure $19.99 274 81% 8.2k $164k (exactly $164,318) Wanderlost Interactive
Kingdom's Deck $9.99 495 72% 15k $148k (exactly $148,352) Ivan Aco
BLOODLETTER $15.49 229 79% 6.9k $106k (exactly $106,416) ALDAMAMI GAMES
Dicealot $14.99 218 78% 6.5k $98k (exactly $98,035) goodviewgames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.