Do I ship it?

GamesStrategy RPGStrategy RPG + Mechs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mech Strategy RPG?

Strategy RPG + Mechs

Only 10 developers shipped a Mech Strategy RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Metal Slug Tactics, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×6.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $17k against a market of $630. 25 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 27.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 2030% on the market, 25 announced, ×6.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Strategy RPG + Mechs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $11k → $750 → $32k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Strategy RPG + Mechs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $750 (exactly $750)
Median $17k (exactly $17,391)
Top 25% $32k (exactly $32,384)
Top 5% $864k (exactly $863,654)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 33
Announced 25
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $19.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2030% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Strategy RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Mechs
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Strategy RPG
Price point
$19.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 73% positive over 1,551 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $750, median $17k, 1 in 4 over $32k, 1 in 20 over $860k.

3 in 10 developers made under $750. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Strategy RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SportsFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 26 announced
  2. + SwordplayFair22 devs · median $2.7k · 28 announced
  3. + Bullet HellFair40 devs · median $2.0k · 31 announced
  4. + EconomyFair95 devs · median $2.0k · 128 announced
  5. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  6. + ConspiracyFair19 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Shop KeeperFair21 devs · median $987 · 25 announced
  8. + 2D PlatformerFair108 devs · median $479 · 113 announced
  9. + Point & ClickFair43 devs · median $450 · 47 announced
  10. + Turn-BasedPoor odds58 devs · median $63k · 76 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds30 devs · median $35k · 41 announced
  12. + 4XPoor odds15 devs · median $31k · 33 announced

All 158 pairs on the Strategy RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SD GUNDAM G GENERATION CROSS RAYS older $59.99 6,939 82% 208k $12M (exactly $12,488,118) TOM CREATE, 株式会社トムクリエイト
Super Robot Wars 30 older $59.99 5,608 85% 168k $10M (exactly $10,092,718) Bandai Namco Forge Digitals Inc.
Star Renegades older $24.99 2,673 82% 80k $2.0M (exactly $2,003,948) Massive Damage, Inc.
Metal Slug Tactics $24.99 1,152 76% 35k $864k (exactly $863,654) Leikir Studio
Templar Battleforce older $9.99 931 92% 28k $279k (exactly $279,021) Trese Brothers
Chaos Galaxy 2 older $19.99 304 82% 9.1k $182k (exactly $182,309) Han Zhiyu
Chaos Front $19.99 252 59% 7.6k $151k (exactly $151,124) Han Zhiyu
Relayer Advanced older $49.99 67 67% 2.0k $100k (exactly $100,480) DRAGAMI GAMES, LTD.
Mugen Souls Z older $19.99 75 73% 2.3k $45k (exactly $44,978) Idea Factory
Ignited Steel: Mech Tactics older $14.99 82 73% 2.5k $37k (exactly $36,875) Yokaicade
WARSHIFT 2 $19.99 54 70% 1.6k $32k (exactly $32,384) Cyril Megem
Deep Fringe · EA $19.99 45 88% 1.4k $27k (exactly $26,986) Bosoneon Studio
WarOS · EA $19.99 29 72% 870 $17k (exactly $17,391) The7 Studio
Ark of Trisolar (三体方舟) $6.99 13 92% 390 $2.7k (exactly $2,726) Binary Studio
Nexus Wars · EA $24.99 1 0% 30 $750 (exactly $750) Ajion Arts
Crossed Commands: Collision · EA $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) SlightQuartz
Nyassembled! · EA $8.99 2 100% 60 $539 (exactly $539) K. N. Factory
MECH DISTRICT · EA $14.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Stands to Reason Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.