Do I ship it?

GamesShooterShooter + Martial Arts

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Martial-Arts Shooter?

Shooter + Martial Arts

Only 12 developers shipped a Martial-Arts Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Suit for Hire, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×4.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $8.2k, ×13 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $1.4M, ×2337 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 28 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 13.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 28 announced, ×4.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shooter + Martial Arts
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $657 → $179 → $915k → $240
Outcomes for Shooter + Martial Arts: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $240 (exactly $240)
Median $8.2k (exactly $8,150)
Top 25% $915k (exactly $915,384)
Top 5% $1.5M (exactly $1,467,371)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 40
Announced 28
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Martial Arts
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Shooter
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 7,771 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $8.2k, 1 in 4 over $910k, 1 in 20 over $1.4M.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 6 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair23 devs · median $9.8k · 17 announced
  2. + CollectathonFair69 devs · median $1.4k · 64 announced
  3. + VampiresFair38 devs · median $1.3k · 41 announced
  4. + Walking SimulatorFair68 devs · median $1.2k · 62 announced
  5. + IdlerFair70 devs · median $836 · 59 announced
  6. + Match 3Fair15 devs · median $719 · 5 announced
  7. + SnowFair22 devs · median $570 · 23 announced
  8. + Boss RushFair16 devs · median $537 · 20 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair85 devs · median $479 · 88 announced
  10. + ArcadeLong shot1,151 devs · median $419 · 1,332 announced
  11. + Score AttackLong shot372 devs · median $300 · 352 announced
  12. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds25 devs · median $139k · 45 announced

All 229 pairs on the Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sleeping Dogs: Definitive Edition older $19.99 70,499 94% 2.1M $42M (exactly $42,278,250) United Front Games, Feral Interactive (… (United Front Games, Feral Interactive (Mac))
Suit for Hire $14.99 3,263 92% 98k $1.5M (exactly $1,467,371) Godmode Interactive
Killer Bean · EA $14.99 2,272 73% 68k $1.0M (exactly $1,021,718) Killer Bean Studios LLC
Redeemer: Enhanced Edition older $11.99 2,637 87% 79k $949k (exactly $948,529) Sobaka Studio
KIBORG $24.99 1,221 84% 37k $915k (exactly $915,384) Sobaka Studio
Hellsweeper VR older $19.99 519 85% 16k $311k (exactly $311,244) Mixed Realms Pte Ltd
Brush Burial: Gutter World $9.99 838 93% 25k $251k (exactly $251,149) Knife Demon Software
Ninja Stealth older $4.99 912 76% 27k $137k (exactly $136,526) SC Jogos
Lithium City older $7.99 286 92% 8.6k $69k (exactly $68,554) Nico Tuason
Finnish Cabin Mayhem - Mökkimähinä $4.99 129 94% 3.9k $19k (exactly $19,311) Sophisticated keppana enjoyers
Demonslayer AKA Me $7.99 34 73% 1.0k $8.2k (exactly $8,150) 晶尘工作室
Bedroom Battlegrounds $9.99 10 90% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) WCHC
SCP : A Star Replicator · EA $6.99 2 50% 60 $419 (exactly $419) Studio Serpent
Shuriken Practice 3 $7.99 1 0% 30 $240 (exactly $240) myBad Studios
Night Drone · EA $6.99 1 0% 30 $210 (exactly $210) ARTGame

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.