Games › Strategy RPG › Strategy RPG + Lovecraftian
Should I ship a Lovecraftian Strategy RPG?
Strategy RPG + Lovecraftian
Only 13 developers shipped a Lovecraftian Strategy RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Magicraft, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $6.9k, ×11 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $7.2M, ×11497 the market median. Revenue is down 30% on the market; 30 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $599 (exactly $599) |
|---|---|
| Median | $6.9k (exactly $6,924) |
| Top 25% | $16k (exactly $16,184) |
| Top 5% | $7.2M (exactly $7,219,965) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 31 |
| Announced | 30 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $10.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 125% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Strategy RPG
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Lovecraftian
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Strategy RPG
- Price point
- $10.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 15,620 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $600. 30 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Strategy RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SportsFair
- + SwordplayFair
- + Bullet HellFair
- + EconomyFair
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair
- + ConspiracyFair
- + Shop KeeperFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + Turn-BasedPoor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
- + 4XPoor odds
Comparable games
Magicraft 2024 · $7.2M 
Reverse Collapse: Code Name Bakery 2024 · $3.6M 
Depersonalization 2024 · $3.6M 
The Shrouded Isle 2017 · $454k 
Shardpunk 2023 · $310k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Magicraft | $15.99 | 15,051 92% | 452k | $7.2M (exactly $7,219,965) | Wave Games | |
| | Reverse Collapse: Code Name Bakery | older | $24.99 | 4,861 78% | 146k | $3.6M (exactly $3,644,292) | Shanghai Sunborn Network Technology Co.… (Shanghai Sunborn Network Technology Co., Ltd.) |
| | Depersonalization | older | $19.99 | 6,041 92% | 181k | $3.6M (exactly $3,622,788) | MeowNature |
| | The Shrouded Isle | older | $12.99 | 1,166 71% | 35k | $454k (exactly $454,390) | Jongwoo Kim, Erica Lahaie, FX Bilodeau,… (Jongwoo Kim, Erica Lahaie, FX Bilodeau, Tanya Short) |
| | Shardpunk | older | $13.99 | 739 92% | 22k | $310k (exactly $310,158) | Clockwork Pile |
 | Stirring Abyss | older | $24.99 | 334 88% | 10k | $250k (exactly $250,400) | Sleepy Sentry, K-Project |
 | Nightmare Frontier | $24.99 | 187 69% | 5.6k | $140k (exactly $140,194) | Ice Code Games | |
 | Whispers of the Eyeless | $19.99 | 226 74% | 6.8k | $136k (exactly $135,532) | Venris, Evil Gingerbread Studio | |
 | Heretic Operative | older | $19.99 | 88 79% | 2.6k | $53k (exactly $52,774) | C Prompt Games |
 | Apollyon: River of Life | older | $14.99 | 37 89% | 1.1k | $17k (exactly $16,639) | The Planar Danse |
 | RECORD_DrowsyVortex | $9.99 | 54 100% | 1.6k | $16k (exactly $16,184) | LunarHillz | |
 | Drill Rift | $14.99 | 24 75% | 720 | $11k (exactly $10,793) | Steam Veil Games | |
 | Herogue | $14.99 | 22 95% | 660 | $9.9k (exactly $9,893) | 巴豆肥工作室 | |
 | Paracom | $10.99 | 21 90% | 630 | $6.9k (exactly $6,924) | Steel Widow Klan | |
 | A Tale of Silent Depths | $9.99 | 21 80% | 630 | $6.3k (exactly $6,294) | Crit42 Studio | |
 | Necrotyper | $14.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $5.4k (exactly $5,396) | Vildiur | |
 | AO: Containment Breach | · EA | $9.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | Prismatix- |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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