Do I ship it?

Games › Survival › Survival + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic Survival game?

Survival + Logic

Of 100 developers who shipped a Logic Survival game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 108 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $60; 1 in 20 cleared $180k, ×291 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 108 games are announced against 55 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 108 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Survival + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 100
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.7k → $1.5k → $2.4k → $2.1k → $898 → $1.0k → $150 (still earning) → $240 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Survival + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 100
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $450 (exactly $450)
Top 25% $2.6k (exactly $2,633)
Top 5% $183k (exactly $183,028)
Developers, 2 yr 100
Released games 304
Announced 108
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Survival
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Survival, Logic; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Strategy
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Pixel Graphics, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 9,228 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $450, 1 in 4 over $2.6k, 1 in 20 over $180k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 8 in 10 of the 51 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 108 games are announced against 55 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Survival with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds14 devs · median $74k · 10 announced
  2. + Social DeductionFair31 devs · median $6.2k · 35 announced
  3. + Word GameFair22 devs · median $2.1k · 29 announced
  4. + CatsFair33 devs · median $1.2k · 34 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair77 devs · median $1.0k · 84 announced
  6. + IdlerFair96 devs · median $836 · 99 announced
  7. + Auto BattlerFair79 devs · median $807 · 90 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair101 devs · median $599 · 130 announced
  9. + DogsFair20 devs · median $535 · 19 announced
  10. + Martial ArtsLong shot19 devs · median $419 · 17 announced
  11. + Boomer ShooterLong shot39 devs · median $359 · 32 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds16 devs · median $100k · 28 announced

All 234 pairs on the Survival page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Stationeers 2017 · EA · $9.0M Mind Over Magic 2025 · $3.2M Nimbatus - The Space Drone Constructor 2020 · $1.1M Modulus: Factory Automation 2026 · $613k Granny: Escape Together 2024 · $498k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Stationeers · EA older $34.99 8,597 88% 258k $9.0M (exactly $9,024,271) RocketWerkz
Mind Over Magic $24.99 4,314 86% 129k $3.2M (exactly $3,234,206) Sparkypants
Nimbatus - The Space Drone Constructor older $19.99 1,758 78% 53k $1.1M (exactly $1,054,273) Stray Fawn Studio
Modulus: Factory Automation $24.99 817 90% 25k $613k (exactly $612,505) Happy Volcano
Granny: Escape Together $9.99 1,661 79% 50k $498k (exactly $497,802) CreepyToad
CAR TUNE: Project · EA older $18.99 585 84% 18k $333k (exactly $333,274) Vertices Software
Misty Judgment $8.99 1,170 92% 35k $316k (exactly $315,549) 次元边界
Atomcraft $14.99 407 94% 12k $183k (exactly $183,028) Triplejump
Zup! 5 older $1.99 2,856 93% 86k $171k (exactly $170,503) Quiet River
Alchemist Simulator older $12.99 370 76% 11k $144k (exactly $144,189) Art Games Studio S.A.
Space Accident VR $16.99 231 82% 6.9k $118k (exactly $117,741) VR-WRG
The Last FARMER $12.99 258 56% 7.7k $101k (exactly $100,543) Geekon
I Fetch Rocks $15.99 110 94% 3.3k $53k (exactly $52,767) SarumXR
Iridio $19.99 87 86% 2.6k $52k (exactly $52,174) KR Games
Dofamine VR $9.99 173 82% 5.2k $52k (exactly $51,848) VR-WRG

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.