Do I ship it?

Games › Strategy RPG › Strategy RPG + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic Strategy RPG?

Strategy RPG + Logic

Of 32 developers who shipped a Logic Strategy RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 51 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $770k, ×1228 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 51 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 51 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Strategy RPG + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 32
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $327 → $179 → $358 → $15k → $1.1k → $1.6k → $180 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Strategy RPG + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 32
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $4.1k (exactly $4,126)
Top 5% $771k (exactly $771,214)
Developers, 2 yr 32
Released games 90
Announced 51
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.90

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 90% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Strategy RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Strategy RPG, Logic; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Strategy, Exploration
Price point
$5.90 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.90.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 5,903 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $900, 1 in 4 over $4.1k, 1 in 20 over $770k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 51 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Strategy RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SportsFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 26 announced
  2. + SwordplayFair22 devs · median $2.7k · 28 announced
  3. + Bullet HellFair40 devs · median $2.0k · 31 announced
  4. + EconomyFair95 devs · median $2.0k · 128 announced
  5. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  6. + ConspiracyFair19 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Shop KeeperFair21 devs · median $987 · 25 announced
  8. + 2D PlatformerFair108 devs · median $479 · 113 announced
  9. + Point & ClickFair43 devs · median $450 · 47 announced
  10. + Turn-BasedPoor odds58 devs · median $63k · 76 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds30 devs · median $35k · 41 announced
  12. + 4XPoor odds15 devs · median $31k · 33 announced

All 158 pairs on the Strategy RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Mind Over Magic 2025 · $3.2M Little Rocket Lab 2025 · $771k Winter 2022 · EA · $306k Spaceland: Sci-Fi Indie Tactics 2019 · $215k Emergency Call 112 - The Attack Squad 2024 · $39k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mind Over Magic $24.99 4,314 86% 129k $3.2M (exactly $3,234,206) Sparkypants
Little Rocket Lab $19.99 1,286 90% 39k $771k (exactly $771,214) Teenage Astronauts
Winter · EA older $29.99 340 73% 10k $306k (exactly $305,898) Frostfall Realms Studios
Spaceland: Sci-Fi Indie Tactics older $19.99 358 75% 11k $215k (exactly $214,693) Tortuga Team
Emergency Call 112 - The Attack Squad $14.99 86 48% 2.6k $39k (exactly $38,674) Crenetic
Magic Trap older $49.99 23 86% 690 $34k (exactly $34,493) Gamesforgames
Shards of the Realm $19.99 32 71% 960 $19k (exactly $19,190) Yevhen Rebrakov
Business War: ERP Sandbox Simulation $15.99 33 84% 990 $16k (exactly $15,830) 夜与潜伏者
Dungeon Divers older $4.99 103 78% 3.1k $15k (exactly $15,419) Wilson The Ball
The Mythical City 4 older $49.99 10 100% 300 $15k (exactly $14,997) Gamesforgames
烧尾宴 $8.99 52 75% 1.6k $14k (exactly $14,024) 有点正经
DungeonSweeper $7.99 21 76% 630 $5.0k (exactly $5,034) Smoketree Studios
The Legend of Shiande $2.99 46 100% 1.4k $4.1k (exactly $4,126) Thales Caus
Senatus $4.99 16 81% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) Slashware Interactive, Megalevel
Forest Factory Simulator $3.99 17 41% 510 $2.0k (exactly $2,035) Samle Indie Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.