Do I ship it?

Games › Space Sim › Space Sim + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic Space Sim?

Space Sim + Logic

Of 21 developers who shipped a Logic Space Sim in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $52k, ×84 the market median. Revenue is up 170% on the market; 22 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 170% on the market, 22 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Space Sim + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.3k → $719 → $6.3k → $3.1k → $356 (still earning) → $120 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Space Sim + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $356 (exactly $356)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 25% $6.3k (exactly $6,294)
Top 5% $53k (exactly $52,767)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 47
Announced 22
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 170% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Space Sim
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Space Sim, Logic; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Physics, Sandbox
Price point
$9.00 typical · top 25% priced $16.37 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.37 or above; the middle game at $9.00.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 3,871 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $6.2k, 1 in 20 over $52k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 9 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Space Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DestructionFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 22 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair9 devs · median $3.6k · 12 announced
  3. + Tactical RPGFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 15 announced
  4. + WarFair34 devs · median $1.3k · 42 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorFair16 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  6. + SportsFair8 devs · median $479 · 9 announced
  7. + DiplomacyLong shot7 devs · median $360 · 14 announced
  8. + MilitaryPoor odds18 devs · median $6.3k · 39 announced
  9. + Online Co-OpPoor odds18 devs · median $4.9k · 63 announced
  10. + Strategy RPGPoor odds8 devs · median $4.9k · 21 announced
  11. + SandboxPoor odds86 devs · median $4.6k · 213 announced
  12. + Colony SimPoor odds42 devs · median $4.6k · 91 announced

All 114 pairs on the Space Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Mars First Logistics 2025 · $2.1M Tower! Simulator 3 2022 · $1.9M Mars Horizon 2020 · $1.7M Nimbatus - The Space Drone Constructor 2020 · $1.1M Rover Mechanic Simulator 2020 · $135k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mars First Logistics $19.99 3,497 94% 105k $2.1M (exactly $2,097,151) Shape Shop
Tower! Simulator 3 older $59.99 1,047 67% 31k $1.9M (exactly $1,884,286) FeelThere
Mars Horizon older $19.99 2,757 84% 83k $1.7M (exactly $1,653,373) Auroch Digital
Nimbatus - The Space Drone Constructor older $19.99 1,758 78% 53k $1.1M (exactly $1,054,273) Stray Fawn Studio
Rover Mechanic Simulator older $11.99 376 82% 11k $135k (exactly $135,247) ▲ Pyramid Games
Outerverse older $19.99 105 51% 3.2k $63k (exactly $62,968) Tbjbu2
I Fetch Rocks $15.99 110 94% 3.3k $53k (exactly $52,767) SarumXR
Legitimate Space Corp Simulator LLC $12.99 82 69% 2.5k $32k (exactly $31,955) VHornet Games
StarbaseSim · EA $16.37 46 93% 1.4k $23k (exactly $22,591) AshtorakSimGames
Space Sprouts $10.99 51 96% 1.5k $17k (exactly $16,815) Schleuder Games
Accretion $9.99 21 38% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) ValarFerys
Rocket Engineer · EA $9.99 13 92% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Xavier B.
Quantum Loop $5.99 17 100% 510 $3.1k (exactly $3,055) slashslash, Declan Carveth
Nebulis Entity $9.99 6 100% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) FOUFY SOFTWARE
5 Minutes Until Self-Destruction $1.99 28 96% 840 $1.7k (exactly $1,672) Part Time Monkey

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.