Do I ship it?

GamesShooterShooter + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic Shooter?

Shooter + Logic

Of 51 developers who shipped a Logic Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 60 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $210 in the last 2 years and $240 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 24 developers shipped in the last year and 60 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 105% on the market, 60 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shooter + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 51
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $1.9k → $359 → $239 → $179 → $150 → $838 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Shooter + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 51
Bottom 30% $89 (exactly $89)
Median $210 (exactly $210)
Top 25% $955 (exactly $955)
Top 5% $11k (exactly $10,793)
Developers, 2 yr 51
Released games 134
Announced 60
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 105% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Shooter, Logic; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, FPS
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, 3D, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 610 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $89, median $210, 1 in 4 over $950, 1 in 20 over $10k.

3 in 10 developers made under $89. Nearly all of the 30 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 60 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair23 devs · median $9.8k · 17 announced
  2. + CollectathonFair69 devs · median $1.4k · 64 announced
  3. + VampiresFair38 devs · median $1.3k · 41 announced
  4. + Walking SimulatorFair68 devs · median $1.2k · 62 announced
  5. + IdlerFair70 devs · median $836 · 59 announced
  6. + Match 3Fair15 devs · median $719 · 5 announced
  7. + SnowFair22 devs · median $570 · 23 announced
  8. + Boss RushFair16 devs · median $537 · 20 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair85 devs · median $479 · 88 announced
  10. + ArcadeLong shot1,151 devs · median $419 · 1,332 announced
  11. + Score AttackLong shot372 devs · median $300 · 352 announced
  12. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds25 devs · median $139k · 45 announced

All 229 pairs on the Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Haydee 3 $29.99 321 84% 9.6k $289k (exactly $288,804) Haydee Interactive
Ninja Stealth older $4.99 912 76% 27k $137k (exactly $136,526) SC Jogos
Divide By Sheep older $4.99 478 93% 14k $72k (exactly $71,557) Victor Solodilov, Denis Novikov
Project Third Eye · EA older $11.99 166 74% 5.0k $60k (exactly $59,710) YueWorks
Remoteness older $19.99 98 61% 2.9k $59k (exactly $58,771) KR Games
Iridio $19.99 87 86% 2.6k $52k (exactly $52,174) KR Games
Nurose · EA older $9.99 90 87% 2.7k $27k (exactly $26,973) Orongto
We Are One older $9.99 75 93% 2.3k $22k (exactly $22,478) Flat Head Studio
Underwater battles older $39.99 12 75% 360 $14k (exactly $14,396) Stas Paty9mkin
Mess Adventures 2 older $4.99 86 81% 2.6k $13k (exactly $12,874) Marvelous Games
Time Hacker $14.99 24 70% 720 $11k (exactly $10,793) Joy Way
Just Skill Shooter 4 $9.99 17 76% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) Gamesforgames
The Armed Shadow $9.99 17 94% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) Gamesforgames
Project: Stellar Girls $4.99 32 46% 960 $4.8k (exactly $4,790) 430Games
Project Liminal 2 $2.51 60 78% 1.8k $4.5k (exactly $4,518) AquaHeaven Studios
Glass Cannon $4.99 29 89% 870 $4.3k (exactly $4,341) LisiSoft
Maniac Path 3 $9.99 12 100% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Gamesforgames
Besitupia: Mediator $5.99 11 81% 330 $2.0k (exactly $1,977) Oppressive HellMode

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.