Do I ship it?

GamesShoot 'Em UpShoot 'Em Up + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic Shoot 'Em Up?

Shoot 'Em Up + Logic

Only 10 developers shipped a Logic Shoot 'Em Up in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, CPU Invaders - Aim Hero, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $210 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 6 developers shipped in the last year and 10 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 615% on the market, 10 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shoot 'Em Up + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Shoot 'Em Up + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $240 (exactly $240)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,197)
Top 5% $1.6k (exactly $1,574)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 38
Announced 10
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 615% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shoot 'Em Up
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Shoot 'Em Up, Logic
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 96% positive over 77 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $240, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $1.5k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 10 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shoot 'Em Up with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FaithFair13 devs · median $17k · 13 announced
  2. + RomanceFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 7 announced
  3. + VampiresFair15 devs · median $1.3k · 7 announced
  4. + Quick-Time EventsFair8 devs · median $1.2k · 12 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair39 devs · median $628 · 36 announced
  6. + IdlerFair36 devs · median $628 · 14 announced
  7. + Tower DefenseFair70 devs · median $599 · 54 announced
  8. + Resource ManagementFair26 devs · median $599 · 34 announced
  9. + ArcadeFair749 devs · median $419 · 783 announced
  10. + SwordplayLong shot13 devs · median $300 · 5 announced
  11. + MusicPoor odds12 devs · median $9.0k · 12 announced
  12. + LovecraftianPoor odds8 devs · median $8.1k · 20 announced

All 169 pairs on the Shoot 'Em Up page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
They Сame From Above older $24.99 16 62% 480 $12k (exactly $11,995) Piece Of Voxel
Oik Memory older $0.99 243 86% 7.3k $7.2k (exactly $7,217) Crew Lab
Aegis Legends · EA older $4.99 32 90% 960 $4.8k (exactly $4,790) Aurox Studios
Oik 5 older $0.99 156 88% 4.7k $4.6k (exactly $4,633) Crew Lab
Bug Butcher older $4.99 29 72% 870 $4.3k (exactly $4,341) Chuvdji
Mike's Arcade older $7.99 12 91% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) Mike Sedore
Go, Go Cowboy older $4.99 17 82% 510 $2.5k (exactly $2,545) PhoenixFire Games
Novi Cube older $1.99 34 79% 1.0k $2.0k (exactly $2,030) Rand.Exe Studios
CPU Invaders - Aim Hero $0.99 53 100% 1.6k $1.6k (exactly $1,574) Microblast Games
Doomsday Tower Defense $15.99 3 33% 90 $1.4k (exactly $1,439) Urban Isotope
Dyno Burst: Bubble Shooter $3.99 10 100% 300 $1.2k (exactly $1,197) Popoko VM Games
Chromadi · EA $3.99 7 100% 210 $838 (exactly $838) Kleanup Games
Shuriken Practice 3 $7.99 1 0% 30 $240 (exactly $240) myBad Studios
Along the Edge of the Sky $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) Dark Star Nova
Astro Raid $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Coding Alpaka
Abrez $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) Haruka Nitaka, S.Daas, Tony Tutty, Suss… (Haruka Nitaka, S.Daas, Tony Tutty, Sussanne Beaujeu, T.Beaujeu)
Slightly Overweight Superhero and the seven levels of death $8.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Nathan Laird
Cursor Blast $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) NRZGAMES

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.