Do I ship it?

Games › Strategy RPG › Strategy RPG + Local Multiplayer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Multiplayer Strategy RPG?

Strategy RPG + Local Multiplayer

Only 5 developers shipped a Local Multiplayer Strategy RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Headquarters: Cold War, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $300 against a market of $630. 15 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 15 announced, ×5.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Strategy RPG + Local Multiplayer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.7k → $543k → $1.8k → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Strategy RPG + Local Multiplayer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $1.8k (exactly $1,798)
Top 5% $33k (exactly $33,289)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 33
Announced 15
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $10.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Strategy RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Strategy RPG, Local Multiplayer
Price point
$10.00 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 23,489 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $300, 1 in 4 over $1.7k, 1 in 20 over $33k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 15 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Strategy RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SportsFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 26 announced
  2. + SwordplayFair22 devs · median $2.7k · 28 announced
  3. + Bullet HellFair40 devs · median $2.0k · 31 announced
  4. + EconomyFair95 devs · median $2.0k · 128 announced
  5. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  6. + ConspiracyFair19 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Shop KeeperFair21 devs · median $987 · 25 announced
  8. + 2D PlatformerFair108 devs · median $479 · 113 announced
  9. + Point & ClickFair43 devs · median $450 · 47 announced
  10. + Turn-BasedPoor odds58 devs · median $63k · 76 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds30 devs · median $35k · 41 announced
  12. + 4XPoor odds15 devs · median $31k · 33 announced

All 158 pairs on the Strategy RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Songs of Conquest 2024 · $11M Wargroove 2019 · $2.4M No Time to Relax 2019 · $1.0M Swords and Sandals Classic Collection 2019 · $871k Inkulinati 2024 · $543k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Songs of Conquest older $29.99 12,127 85% 364k $11M (exactly $10,910,662) Lavapotion
Wargroove older $19.99 4,015 83% 120k $2.4M (exactly $2,407,796) Chucklefish
No Time to Relax older $13.99 2,486 92% 75k $1.0M (exactly $1,043,374) Porcelain Fortress
Swords and Sandals Classic Collection older $9.99 2,905 92% 87k $871k (exactly $870,628) Whiskeybarrel Studios
Inkulinati older $24.99 724 87% 22k $543k (exactly $542,783) Yaza Games
Wargroove 2 older $19.99 403 69% 12k $242k (exactly $241,679) Chucklefish, Robotality
CountryBalls Heroes older $14.99 408 77% 12k $183k (exactly $183,478) Innominate Games
USC: Counterforce older $19.99 205 62% 6.2k $123k (exactly $122,938) Angry Cat Studios, Creatio 49
Telepath Tactics Liberated older $19.99 120 85% 3.6k $72k (exactly $71,964) Sinister Design
Goalgetter older $19.99 96 80% 2.9k $58k (exactly $57,571) netmin games
Headquarters: Cold War $29.99 37 64% 1.1k $33k (exactly $33,289) Starni Games
Boardquest: Tales of Liria $11.99 5 100% 150 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) Ramezware SL
Stories Of Iliria $10.00 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Noah Zentner
Creeps: Halls of Insanity · EA $1.99 1 0% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Steve Pill
ChessRPG $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Nessarosa

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.