Do I ship it?

GamesSpace SimSpace Sim + Local Multiplayer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Multiplayer Space Sim?

Space Sim + Local Multiplayer

Only 7 developers shipped a Local Multiplayer Space Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Let's Build Wonders: Galaxy, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $0 against a market of $630. 13 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 13 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Space Sim + Local Multiplayer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Space Sim + Local Multiplayer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $0 (exactly $0)
Top 25% $599 (exactly $599)
Top 5% $1.0k (exactly $1,048)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 26
Announced 13
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Space Sim
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Space Sim, Local Multiplayer
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 70% positive over 145 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $0, 1 in 4 over $590, 1 in 20 over $1.0k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 13 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Space Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DestructionFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 22 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair9 devs · median $3.6k · 12 announced
  3. + Tactical RPGFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 15 announced
  4. + WarFair34 devs · median $1.3k · 42 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorFair16 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  6. + SportsFair8 devs · median $479 · 9 announced
  7. + DiplomacyLong shot7 devs · median $360 · 14 announced
  8. + MilitaryPoor odds18 devs · median $6.3k · 39 announced
  9. + Online Co-OpPoor odds18 devs · median $4.9k · 63 announced
  10. + Strategy RPGPoor odds8 devs · median $4.9k · 21 announced
  11. + SandboxPoor odds86 devs · median $4.6k · 213 announced
  12. + Colony SimPoor odds42 devs · median $4.6k · 91 announced

All 114 pairs on the Space Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
BARK older $9.99 39 82% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,688) Tic Toc Games
Detached: Non-VR Edition older $14.99 19 68% 570 $8.5k (exactly $8,544) Anshar Studios
Undercrewed · EA older $11.99 17 58% 510 $6.1k (exactly $6,115) David Strachan, Dex Cimino
Rover Wars older $6.99 24 79% 720 $5.0k (exactly $5,033) Sakari Games
LineVox older $9.99 12 83% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Piece Of Voxel
FPVSIM Drone Simulator older $8.99 12 16% 360 $3.2k (exactly $3,236) fpvsim.com
ANIQUILATION older $24.99 2 100% 60 $1.5k (exactly $1,499) R-Next
Gladihaters · EA older $11.99 4 50% 120 $1.4k (exactly $1,439) Aden Interactive
Let's Build Wonders: Galaxy $6.99 5 20% 150 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Sunjoy Meta
Cygnus Pizza Race older $2.99 11 100% 330 $987 (exactly $987) Longplay Games
ASTROSMASH 1981 $4.99 4 0% 120 $599 (exactly $599) BBG Entertainment GmbH
Rakete $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Mario von Rickenbach
Planet Strike $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) DanboruStudio
Hustle Together $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Andrew Kane
Geospatial Exploration - Explore the real world in 3D and VR $19.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Boemien
Reactor Critical $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Terran Future Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.