Do I ship it?

Games › Local Multiplayer › Local Multiplayer + Music

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Music Local Multiplayer game?

Local Multiplayer + Music

Only 13 developers shipped a Music Local Multiplayer game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Rhythm Doctor, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $8.4k, ×18 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $160; 1 in 20 cleared $15M, ×31590 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 16 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 17.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 16 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Multiplayer + Music
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $19k → $1.0M → $299 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Local Multiplayer + Music: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $158 (exactly $158)
Median $8.4k (exactly $8,390)
Top 25% $49k (exactly $49,188)
Top 5% $15M (exactly $15,005,094)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 63
Announced 16
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 125% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Music
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Local Multiplayer
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 41,627 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $160, median $8.4k, 1 in 4 over $49k, 1 in 20 over $15M.

3 in 10 developers made under $160. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Multiplayer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HockeyStrong odds11 devs · median $3.0k · 12 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair61 devs · median $5.8k · 64 announced
  3. + Action RPGFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  4. + Hex GridFair12 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  5. + ModernFair24 devs · median $3.6k · 16 announced
  6. + WargameFair28 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  7. + TennisFair18 devs · median $2.3k · 10 announced
  8. + Point & ClickFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 8 announced
  9. + Artificial IntelligenceFair26 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  10. + Football (American)Fair13 devs · median $1.8k · 4 announced
  11. + SportsFair196 devs · median $1.6k · 208 announced
  12. + RunnerFair23 devs · median $1.3k · 30 announced

All 174 pairs on the Local Multiplayer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Rhythm Doctor 2025 · $15M Just Shapes & Beats 2018 · $14M Rayman® Legends 2013 · $10M Tetris® Effect: Connected 2021 · $10M Tony Hawk's™ Pro Skater™ 1 + 2 2023 · $5.4M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Rhythm Doctor $19.99 25,021 98% 751k $15M (exactly $15,005,094) 7th Beat Games
Just Shapes & Beats older $19.99 24,041 97% 721k $14M (exactly $14,417,388) Berzerk Studio
Rayman® Legends older $29.99 11,420 89% 343k $10M (exactly $10,274,574) Ubisoft Montpellier
Tetris® Effect: Connected older $39.99 8,429 94% 253k $10M (exactly $10,112,271) Monstars Inc., Resonair, Stage Games
Tony Hawk's™ Pro Skater™ 1 + 2 older $39.99 4,497 90% 135k $5.4M (exactly $5,395,051) Vicarious Visions, Iron Galaxy Studios
Pyre older $19.99 8,396 90% 252k $5.0M (exactly $5,035,081) Supergiant Games
Rocksmith® 2014 Edition REMASTERED LEARN & PLAY $9.99 15,615 85% 468k $4.7M (exactly $4,679,816) Ubisoft - San Francisco, Ubisoft - Osaka
AudioSurf older $9.99 8,901 95% 267k $2.7M (exactly $2,667,630) Dylan Fitterer
Audiosurf 2 older $14.99 5,364 82% 161k $2.4M (exactly $2,412,191) Dylan Fitterer
Ragnarock older $24.99 2,775 94% 83k $2.1M (exactly $2,080,417) WanadevStudio
Lumines Arise $39.99 848 94% 25k $1.0M (exactly $1,017,346) Enhance, Monstars Inc.
Barbie Project Friendship™ $39.99 41 80% 1.2k $49k (exactly $49,188) Xaloc Studios, Casual Brothers Ltd.
Marsupilami 2 - Salsa Palombia $24.99 28 100% 840 $21k (exactly $20,992) Ocellus Studio
MAGICAL BEAT $9.99 29 79% 870 $8.7k (exactly $8,691) Arc System Works, APLUS Co., Ltd.
Bop It! The Video Game $7.99 35 94% 1.1k $8.4k (exactly $8,390) Alliance
Catch Flex $9.99 7 100% 210 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) Vilegacy
Musica $4.99 2 0% 60 $299 (exactly $299) VECTRA
Synergy Strike $5.25 1 100% 30 $158 (exactly $158) strangeboltz

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.