Do I ship it?

GamesLocal MultiplayerLocal Multiplayer + Female Protagonist

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Female-Led Local Multiplayer game?

Local Multiplayer + Female Protagonist

Of 61 developers who shipped a Female-Led Local Multiplayer game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 64 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.8k, ×12 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $720. Revenue is flat on the market; 64 games are announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 12.3 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 64 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Local Multiplayer + Female Protagonist
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 61
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $54k → $22k → $4.2k → $8.5k → $6.2k → $6.3k → $4.9k (still earning) → $683 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Local Multiplayer + Female Protagonist: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 61
Bottom 30% $719 (exactly $719)
Median $5.8k (exactly $5,846)
Top 25% $44k (exactly $43,756)
Top 5% $722k (exactly $721,579)
Developers, 2 yr 61
Released games 236
Announced 64
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $10.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Female Protagonist
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Local Multiplayer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Local Co-Op, Co-op
Price point
$10.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, Colorful, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $10.99.

The top 10 games average 71% positive over 189,769 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $5.8k, 1 in 4 over $43k, 1 in 20 over $720k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 8 in 10 of the 30 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 64 games are announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Local Multiplayer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + HockeyStrong odds11 devs · median $3.0k · 12 announced
  2. + Action RPGFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  3. + Hex GridFair12 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  4. + ModernFair24 devs · median $3.6k · 16 announced
  5. + WargameFair28 devs · median $3.0k · 28 announced
  6. + TennisFair18 devs · median $2.3k · 10 announced
  7. + Point & ClickFair14 devs · median $2.0k · 8 announced
  8. + Artificial IntelligenceFair26 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  9. + Football (American)Fair13 devs · median $1.8k · 4 announced
  10. + SportsFair196 devs · median $1.6k · 208 announced
  11. + RunnerFair23 devs · median $1.3k · 30 announced
  12. + Hidden ObjectFair15 devs · median $959 · 14 announced

All 174 pairs on the Local Multiplayer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
It Takes Two older $39.99 218,492 95% 6.6M $262M (exactly $262,124,852) Hazelight Studios
EA SPORTS FC™ 26 $69.99 99,773 50% 3.0M $209M (exactly $209,493,368) EA Canada, EA Romania
Split Fiction $49.99 78,378 97% 2.4M $118M (exactly $117,543,487) Hazelight Studios
Street Fighter™ 6 older $39.99 49,952 81% 1.5M $60M (exactly $59,927,414) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
Mortal Kombat X older $19.99 39,392 88% 1.2M $24M (exactly $23,623,382) NetherRealm Studios, QLOC
SOULCALIBUR VI older $59.99 9,768 83% 293k $18M (exactly $17,579,470) BANDAI NAMCO Studios Inc., Dimps Corpor… (BANDAI NAMCO Studios Inc., Dimps Corporation)
Skullgirls 2nd Encore older $24.99 23,071 88% 692k $17M (exactly $17,296,329) Hidden Variable Studios
Street Fighter V older $19.99 27,820 72% 835k $17M (exactly $16,683,654) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
THE KING OF FIGHTERS XV $29.99 8,399 83% 252k $7.6M (exactly $7,556,580) SNK CORPORATION
The Dark Pictures Anthology: Man of Medan older $19.99 9,244 76% 277k $5.5M (exactly $5,543,627) Supermassive Games
Onirism $17.99 1,337 82% 40k $722k (exactly $721,579) Crimson Tales
DEAD OR ALIVE 6 Last Round $39.99 550 31% 17k $660k (exactly $659,835) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Scott Pilgrim EX $28.99 471 85% 14k $410k (exactly $409,629) Tribute Games Inc.
Tales of Berseria Remastered $39.99 175 70% 5.3k $210k (exactly $209,948) D.A.G Inc.
Class of '09: Puzzle Showdown $19.99 333 57% 10k $200k (exactly $199,700) SBN3
Phantom Breaker: Battle Grounds Ultimate $24.99 205 84% 6.2k $154k (exactly $153,688) Rocket Panda Games Japan
THE TAG-ALONG OBSESSION $24.99 148 51% 4.4k $111k (exactly $110,956) LuLuDu Tech Co. Ltd.

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.