Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based StrategyTurn-Based Strategy + Local Co-Op

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Co-Op Turn-Based Strategy?

Turn-Based Strategy + Local Co-Op

Of 32 developers who shipped a Local Co-Op Turn-Based Strategy in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 41 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.0 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $390. Revenue is flat on the market; 41 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.0 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 41 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Strategy + Local Co-Op
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 32
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $85k → $242k → $6.6k → $1.3k → $4.7k → $3.1k → $899 (still earning) → $390 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Strategy + Local Co-Op: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 32
Bottom 30% $390 (exactly $390)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,256)
Top 25% $11k (exactly $10,912)
Top 5% $50k (exactly $49,750)
Developers, 2 yr 32
Released games 105
Announced 41
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 255% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Strategy, Local Co-Op; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Co-op, Online Co-Op
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 2,327 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $390, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $49k.

3 in 10 developers made under $390. 8 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 41 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Strategy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WuxiaFair12 devs · median $19k · 17 announced
  2. + Cold WarFair18 devs · median $9.9k · 22 announced
  3. + RomeFair15 devs · median $9.0k · 18 announced
  4. + LootFair86 devs · median $6.3k · 97 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  6. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $3.7k · 12 announced
  7. + IdlerFair50 devs · median $3.6k · 45 announced
  8. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  9. + TanksFair25 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  10. + SokobanFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 11 announced
  11. + Top-Down ShooterFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + SpaceFair107 devs · median $1.5k · 143 announced

All 187 pairs on the Turn-Based Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition older $44.99 180,782 95% 5.4M $244M (exactly $244,001,465) Larian Studios
Divinity: Original Sin - Enhanced Edition older $39.99 27,485 88% 825k $33M (exactly $32,973,754) Larian Studios
For The King older $19.99 31,038 87% 931k $19M (exactly $18,613,489) IronOak Games
For The King II older $24.99 12,708 71% 381k $9.5M (exactly $9,527,188) IronOak Games
Worms W.M.D older $29.99 10,435 85% 313k $9.4M (exactly $9,388,370) Team17
Heroes® of Might & Magic® III - HD Edition older $14.99 20,127 79% 604k $9.1M (exactly $9,051,112) Dotemu
Might & Magic® Heroes® VII older $29.99 6,836 54% 205k $6.2M (exactly $6,150,349) Limbic Entertainment
Wingspan older $19.99 9,807 94% 294k $5.9M (exactly $5,881,258) Monster Couch
Child of Light older $14.99 12,108 91% 363k $5.4M (exactly $5,444,968) Ubisoft Montréal
Pit People® older $19.99 7,458 92% 224k $4.5M (exactly $4,472,563) The Behemoth
Sunderfolk $49.99 1,890 93% 57k $2.8M (exactly $2,834,433) Secret Door
Heroes Of Might And Magic III $9.99 166 50% 5.0k $50k (exactly $49,750) Ubisoft, New World Computing
Beacon Patrol $11.99 70 97% 2.1k $25k (exactly $25,179) Shapes and Dreams, BrutalHack
Keep the Heroes Out $19.99 35 60% 1.1k $21k (exactly $20,990) Brueh Games, YarnCat Games
Ragtag Heroes : CO-OP Deckbuilder · EA $14.99 37 62% 1.1k $17k (exactly $16,639) Ragtag Heroes Team
Duo Quest $14.99 26 65% 780 $12k (exactly $11,692) 1+1 Studios
Super World War $19.99 19 100% 570 $11k (exactly $11,394) Zero Games Studios
Delta Manager · EA $12.99 28 92% 840 $11k (exactly $10,912) Fassi Blue
Carnival Heroes - Super party minigames $3.99 39 97% 1.2k $4.7k (exactly $4,668) LAN - GAMES LTD
Chess of Mana $8.99 17 88% 510 $4.6k (exactly $4,585) Monk Monkey

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.