Do I ship it?

GamesShooterShooter + Life Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Life Sim Shooter?

Shooter + Life Sim

Of 31 developers who shipped a Life Sim Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 58 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $570; 1 in 20 cleared $360k, ×576 the market median. Revenue is up 35% on the market; 58 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 35% on the market, 58 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shooter + Life Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 31
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.3k → $8.4k → $2.3k → $7.8k → $657 (still earning) → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Shooter + Life Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 31
Bottom 30% $564 (exactly $564)
Median $898 (exactly $898)
Top 25% $43k (exactly $42,857)
Top 5% $362k (exactly $362,008)
Developers, 2 yr 31
Released games 75
Announced 58
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 35% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Life Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Shooter, Life Sim; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, FPS, Immersive Sim
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 8,307 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $570, median $900, 1 in 4 over $42k, 1 in 20 over $360k.

3 in 10 developers made under $570. 7 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 58 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair23 devs · median $9.8k · 17 announced
  2. + CollectathonFair69 devs · median $1.4k · 64 announced
  3. + VampiresFair38 devs · median $1.3k · 41 announced
  4. + Walking SimulatorFair68 devs · median $1.2k · 62 announced
  5. + IdlerFair70 devs · median $836 · 59 announced
  6. + Match 3Fair15 devs · median $719 · 5 announced
  7. + SnowFair22 devs · median $570 · 23 announced
  8. + Boss RushFair16 devs · median $537 · 20 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair85 devs · median $479 · 88 announced
  10. + ArcadeLong shot1,151 devs · median $419 · 1,332 announced
  11. + Score AttackLong shot372 devs · median $300 · 352 announced
  12. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds25 devs · median $139k · 45 announced

All 229 pairs on the Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Saints Row®: The Third™ Remastered older $29.99 3,968 73% 119k $3.6M (exactly $3,570,010) Deep Silver Volition, Sperasoft
ANEURISM IV $9.99 5,686 75% 171k $1.7M (exactly $1,704,094) Vellocet
CUSTOM MECH WARS older $49.99 563 41% 17k $844k (exactly $844,331) D3PUBLISHER
Sonicomi older $34.99 550 89% 17k $577k (exactly $577,335) Nitroplus
Zombie Graveyard Simulator $14.99 805 89% 24k $362k (exactly $362,008) threeW
Dude Simulator 2 older $4.99 1,763 56% 53k $264k (exactly $263,921) Kiddy
CURE - A Hospital Simulator · EA $9.99 830 86% 25k $249k (exactly $248,751) Sentinel Games
Virtual Hunter $24.99 173 71% 5.2k $130k (exactly $129,698) Korpi Games Oy
Survival Classic older $12.99 310 66% 9.3k $121k (exactly $120,807) TB Games
Tru Or Die older $9.99 336 52% 10k $101k (exactly $100,699) Tru Hunnit
Pawn Planet $9.99 280 71% 8.4k $84k (exactly $83,916) Gambol Games
Dino Ramen Express · EA $14.99 160 72% 4.8k $72k (exactly $71,952) ANTIGames
Shooting Range Simulator $11.99 164 74% 4.9k $59k (exactly $58,991) Buffed Games
Medic: Pacific War · EA $9.99 143 70% 4.3k $43k (exactly $42,857) Hypnotic Ants
Zombie Chef $9.99 40 50% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,988) Voidy
MagicCar of Delicious $9.99 26 76% 780 $7.8k (exactly $7,792) YINGGUO GAME

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.