Do I ship it?

Games › Turn-Based Combat › Turn-Based Combat + Wuxia

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Wuxia Turn-Based Combat game?

Turn-Based Combat + Wuxia

Of 20 developers who shipped a Wuxia Turn-Based Combat game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced.

Verdict: strong odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $19k, ×30 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 7 in 10 cleared $4.6k. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 21 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×1.1 per shipper.

Deciding numbers: median 30.3 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 21 announced, ×1.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Combat + Wuxia
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $670k → $487k → $19k (still earning) → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Combat + Wuxia: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $4.7k (exactly $4,672)
Median $19k (exactly $19,012)
Top 25% $230k (exactly $230,054)
Top 5% $4.3M (exactly $4,289,654)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 38
Announced 21
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 1800% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Combat
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Wuxia
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Combat; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Multiple Endings, Open World
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
all of the top 25% ship with 2D, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 15,786 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $4.7k, median $19k, 1 in 4 over $230k, 1 in 20 over $4.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $4.7k. 21 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Combat with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Hack and SlashStrong odds28 devs · median $3.7k · 27 announced
  2. + RomeFair8 devs · median $16k · 13 announced
  3. + CookingFair15 devs · median $6.0k · 22 announced
  4. + UndergroundFair18 devs · median $4.2k · 29 announced
  5. + IdlerFair52 devs · median $4.0k · 41 announced
  6. + DiceFair49 devs · median $2.2k · 59 announced
  7. + Traditional RoguelikeFair81 devs · median $1.4k · 107 announced
  8. + ArcadeFair59 devs · median $1.3k · 71 announced
  9. + Tower DefenseFair28 devs · median $839 · 34 announced
  10. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $719 · 52 announced
  11. + SolitaireFair26 devs · median $450 · 31 announced
  12. + RhythmPoor odds10 devs · median $86k · 16 announced

All 175 pairs on the Turn-Based Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Path Of Wuxia 2022 · $30M Wandering Sword 2023 · $28M 河洛群俠傳 (Ho Tu Lo Shu ： The Books of Dragon) 2018 · $5.2M 龙胤立志传 2026 · $4.3M 天外武林 (Traveler of Wuxia) 2023 · $2.4M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Path Of Wuxia older $34.99 28,286 78% 849k $30M (exactly $29,691,814) 香港商河洛互動娛樂股份有限公司
Wandering Sword older $24.99 37,034 94% 1.1M $28M (exactly $27,764,390) The Swordman Studio
河洛群俠傳 (Ho Tu Lo Shu ： The Books of Dragon) older $17.99 9,616 81% 288k $5.2M (exactly $5,189,755) 香港商河洛互動娛樂股份有限公司
龙胤立志传 $19.99 7,153 77% 215k $4.3M (exactly $4,289,654) TPP Studio
天外武林 (Traveler of Wuxia) older $24.99 3,151 85% 95k $2.4M (exactly $2,362,305) 香港商河洛互動娛樂股份有限公司
Beast Saga $20.99 2,714 80% 81k $1.7M (exactly $1,709,006) 嘉兴黑曜石(Jiaxing Obsidian)
Psychic Kung Fu Master $19.99 1,723 60% 52k $1.0M (exactly $1,033,283) 金十四工作室
武林志（Wushu Chronicles） older $12.99 2,182 64% 65k $850k (exactly $850,325) JiangHu Studio
Xuan-Yuan Sword: The Scar of Sky older $9.99 2,437 93% 73k $730k (exactly $730,369) DOMO Studio, SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT
The Forgotten Concluder older $24.99 894 74% 27k $670k (exactly $670,232) Kunpo Games
Destiny of Immortal · EA $11.99 1,763 80% 53k $634k (exactly $634,151) LeiYun Games
万象群侠传 $8.99 853 85% 26k $230k (exactly $230,054) 火天工作室
Ascend From Nine Mountains · EA $19.99 324 92% 9.7k $194k (exactly $194,303) Nine Ascension Studios
侠落：百花杀尽 $12.99 493 70% 15k $192k (exactly $192,122) 上海江湖逸客信息技术有限公司
Tales of Justice Academy: Winds Arise $10.99 460 71% 14k $152k (exactly $151,662) 九芽川 Ninth Leaf
山河小侠 $4.99 176 82% 5.3k $26k (exactly $26,347) 小弟阿金
长路江湖 - 九州群芳 $4.99 127 57% 3.8k $19k (exactly $19,012) SourceIn Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.