Do I ship it?

Games › Turn-Based Combat › Turn-Based Combat + Dice

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dice Turn-Based Combat game?

Turn-Based Combat + Dice

Of 49 developers who shipped a Dice Turn-Based Combat game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 59 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×4.7 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $450. Revenue is up 70% on the market; 59 games are announced against 34 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 70% on the market, 59 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Combat + Dice
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 49
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $32k → $2.4k → $12k → $2.6k (still earning) → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Combat + Dice: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 49
Bottom 30% $450 (exactly $450)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,248)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $11,988)
Top 5% $264k (exactly $264,468)
Developers, 2 yr 49
Released games 59
Announced 59
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 70% on the market, supply 125% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Combat
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Dice
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Combat, Dice; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Turn-Based Strategy, RPG, Strategy
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Hand-drawn
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 3,547 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $260k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 9 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 59 games are announced against 34 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Combat with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WuxiaStrong odds20 devs · median $19k · 21 announced
  2. + Hack and SlashStrong odds28 devs · median $3.7k · 27 announced
  3. + RomeFair8 devs · median $16k · 13 announced
  4. + CookingFair15 devs · median $6.0k · 22 announced
  5. + UndergroundFair18 devs · median $4.2k · 29 announced
  6. + IdlerFair52 devs · median $4.0k · 41 announced
  7. + Traditional RoguelikeFair81 devs · median $1.4k · 107 announced
  8. + ArcadeFair59 devs · median $1.3k · 71 announced
  9. + Tower DefenseFair28 devs · median $839 · 34 announced
  10. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $719 · 52 announced
  11. + SolitaireFair26 devs · median $450 · 31 announced
  12. + RhythmPoor odds10 devs · median $86k · 16 announced

All 175 pairs on the Turn-Based Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Gordian Quest 2022 · $3.2M Astrea: Six-Sided Oracles 2023 · $2.3M Dice & Fold 2024 · $1.4M SpellRogue 2025 · $939k Aether & Iron 2026 · $391k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Gordian Quest older $19.99 5,259 88% 158k $3.2M (exactly $3,153,822) Mixed Realms Pte Ltd, Swag Soft Holding… (Mixed Realms Pte Ltd, Swag Soft Holdings Pte Ltd)
Astrea: Six-Sided Oracles older $24.99 3,011 92% 90k $2.3M (exactly $2,257,347) Little Leo Games
Dice & Fold older $12.99 3,491 83% 105k $1.4M (exactly $1,360,443) Tinymice Entertainment
SpellRogue $19.99 1,566 86% 47k $939k (exactly $939,130) Guidelight Games
Aether & Iron $24.99 521 84% 16k $391k (exactly $390,594) Seismic Squirrel, Chaos Theory Games
Dobbel Dungeon $19.99 441 92% 13k $264k (exactly $264,468) Gamepie
Dice Legends $19.99 252 76% 7.6k $151k (exactly $151,124) Big Bite Games, Ad Luna
Circadian Dice older $5.99 553 94% 17k $99k (exactly $99,374) Shuffle Up Games
Lust Arcanum $17.99 184 75% 5.5k $99k (exactly $99,305) GigiBee, Karne
Die For The Lich · EA $11.99 275 78% 8.3k $99k (exactly $98,918) Monovoid
Flint: Treasure of Oblivion $24.99 92 51% 2.8k $69k (exactly $68,972) Savage Level
RogueDiceR · EA $14.99 108 84% 3.2k $49k (exactly $48,568) GAMPANY
VED $19.99 53 79% 1.6k $32k (exactly $31,784) Karaclan
Dice 'n Goblins $13.99 55 90% 1.7k $23k (exactly $23,084) Tsukumogami Software

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.