Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based CombatTurn-Based Combat + Solitaire

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Solitaire Turn-Based Combat game?

Turn-Based Combat + Solitaire

Of 26 developers who shipped a Solitaire Turn-Based Combat game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.9 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $180. Revenue is flat on the market; 31 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 31 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Combat + Solitaire
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 26
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $1.1k → $2.5k → $719 → $239 → $450 → $2.1k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Combat + Solitaire: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 26
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $450 (exactly $450)
Top 25% $3.4k (exactly $3,358)
Top 5% $46k (exactly $45,965)
Developers, 2 yr 26
Released games 55
Announced 31
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Combat
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Solitaire
effort 1 / 10 · high · fixed rules, cards and a table

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Combat, Solitaire; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Card Battler, Deckbuilding
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 1,027 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $450, 1 in 4 over $3.3k, 1 in 20 over $45k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Combat with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WuxiaStrong odds20 devs · median $19k · 21 announced
  2. + Hack and SlashStrong odds28 devs · median $3.7k · 27 announced
  3. + RomeFair8 devs · median $16k · 13 announced
  4. + CookingFair15 devs · median $6.0k · 22 announced
  5. + UndergroundFair18 devs · median $4.2k · 29 announced
  6. + IdlerFair52 devs · median $4.0k · 41 announced
  7. + DiceFair49 devs · median $2.2k · 59 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair81 devs · median $1.4k · 107 announced
  9. + ArcadeFair59 devs · median $1.3k · 71 announced
  10. + Tower DefenseFair28 devs · median $839 · 34 announced
  11. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $719 · 52 announced
  12. + RhythmPoor odds10 devs · median $86k · 16 announced

All 175 pairs on the Turn-Based Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dice & Fold older $12.99 3,491 83% 105k $1.4M (exactly $1,360,443) Tinymice Entertainment
Shadowhand: RPG Card Game older $16.99 668 82% 20k $340k (exactly $340,480) Grey Alien Games
Ancient Enemy older $16.99 386 89% 12k $197k (exactly $196,744) Grey Alien Games
Wordatro! $9.99 401 85% 12k $120k (exactly $120,180) Le Poulet
Merge Maestro $3.99 384 93% 12k $46k (exactly $45,965) Stingless
Rainbow Legends $12.99 90 74% 2.7k $35k (exactly $35,073) Unpixel Cloud Cedar Studio
The Forgotten Land older $8.99 87 72% 2.6k $23k (exactly $23,464) rokaplay
Myth Monkey Card $5.99 62 100% 1.9k $11k (exactly $11,141) Myth Card Studio
Card Crawl Adventure older $4.99 63 80% 1.9k $9.4k (exactly $9,431) Arnold Rauers
Rush for the Ages older $5.99 32 81% 960 $5.8k (exactly $5,750) PUNKCAKE Delicieux
Solitaire Battle $4.99 27 96% 810 $4.0k (exactly $4,042) diabolodev
Deckbane $9.99 12 66% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Soong
Kemotaku $15.99 7 100% 210 $3.4k (exactly $3,358) Kojika Games
Picaro $6.99 12 100% 360 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Nightforge Studios
Fortiori $8.40 9 100% 270 $2.3k (exactly $2,268) 79GAMES
Touhou Unite Arena $2.99 23 82% 690 $2.1k (exactly $2,063) Moonflow Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.