Do I ship it?

GamesSurvivalSurvival + Investigation

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Investigation Survival game?

Survival + Investigation

Of 89 developers who shipped an Investigation Survival game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 188 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×2.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $140k, ×235 the market median. Revenue is up 130% on the market; 188 games are announced against 46 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 130% on the market, 188 announced, ×4.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Survival + Investigation
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 89
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.1k → $6.1k → $1.2k → $2.1k → $1.2k → $1.6k → $1.8k (still earning) → $3.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Survival + Investigation: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 89
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,796)
Top 25% $7.8k (exactly $7,780)
Top 5% $147k (exactly $147,477)
Developers, 2 yr 89
Released games 297
Announced 188
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 130% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Survival
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Investigation
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Survival, Investigation; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Survival Horror
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, Story Rich, Dark
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 9,925 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $7.7k, 1 in 20 over $140k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 9 in 10 of the 47 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 188 games are announced against 46 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Survival with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds14 devs · median $74k · 10 announced
  2. + Social DeductionFair31 devs · median $6.2k · 35 announced
  3. + Word GameFair22 devs · median $2.1k · 29 announced
  4. + CatsFair33 devs · median $1.2k · 34 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair77 devs · median $1.0k · 84 announced
  6. + IdlerFair96 devs · median $836 · 99 announced
  7. + Auto BattlerFair79 devs · median $807 · 90 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair101 devs · median $599 · 130 announced
  9. + DogsFair20 devs · median $535 · 19 announced
  10. + Martial ArtsLong shot19 devs · median $419 · 17 announced
  11. + Boomer ShooterLong shot39 devs · median $359 · 32 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds16 devs · median $100k · 28 announced

All 234 pairs on the Survival page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Blair Witch older $29.99 6,489 78% 195k $5.8M (exactly $5,838,153) Bloober Team SA
Project Winter older $9.99 13,662 84% 410k $4.1M (exactly $4,094,501) Other Ocean Interactive
BURIED STARS older $39.99 2,117 83% 64k $2.5M (exactly $2,539,765) LINE Games Corporation
SONG OF HORROR COMPLETE EDITION older $29.99 1,932 80% 58k $1.7M (exactly $1,738,220) Protocol Games
Obenseuer · EA older $19.99 1,684 94% 51k $1.0M (exactly $1,009,895) Loiste Interactive
Feign $4.99 5,270 91% 158k $789k (exactly $788,919) Teneke Kafalar
Murder House older $11.99 2,094 95% 63k $753k (exactly $753,212) Puppet Combo
White Noise 2 older $9.99 2,228 80% 67k $668k (exactly $667,732) Milkstone Studios
Hard Time III older $14.99 929 85% 28k $418k (exactly $417,771) MDickie
The Alien Cube older $19.99 554 80% 17k $332k (exactly $332,234) Alessandro Guzzo
Misty Judgment $8.99 1,170 92% 35k $316k (exactly $315,549) 次元边界
Titanic Escape Simulator™ $19.99 374 52% 11k $224k (exactly $224,288) magicprostudio, Vintage Digital Revival
WE ARE SO DEAD · EA $7.99 672 73% 20k $161k (exactly $161,078) REAL PLAYERS
Sister Ray $11.99 410 95% 12k $147k (exactly $147,477) The Growing Stones
BACKROOMS: APPREHENSION $2.99 1,371 83% 41k $123k (exactly $122,979) DMNT Interactive
1998: The Toll Keeper Story $11.99 292 89% 8.8k $105k (exactly $105,032) GameChanger Studio
Schizo Dark $39.99 87 95% 2.6k $104k (exactly $104,374) Galactic Geckon
Anoxia Station $14.99 179 76% 5.4k $80k (exactly $80,496) Bonereaders
Dustland · EA $22.99 100 69% 3.0k $69k (exactly $68,970) RedPad Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.