Do I ship it?

GamesSpace SimSpace Sim + Inventory Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Inventory Management Space Sim?

Space Sim + Inventory Management

Only 16 developers shipped an Inventory Management Space Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Astrometica, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 52 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×2.5 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.7M, ×2781 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 52 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 52 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Space Sim + Inventory Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $539 → $1.5k → $1.1k (still earning) → $1.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Space Sim + Inventory Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $1.1k (exactly $1,079)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,556)
Top 25% $8.1k (exactly $8,092)
Top 5% $1.7M (exactly $1,746,326)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 42
Announced 52
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Space Sim
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Inventory Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Space Sim, Inventory Management
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 3,629 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.1k, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $8.0k, 1 in 20 over $1.7M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.1k. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 52 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Space Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DestructionFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 22 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair9 devs · median $3.6k · 12 announced
  3. + Tactical RPGFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 15 announced
  4. + WarFair34 devs · median $1.3k · 42 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorFair16 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  6. + SportsFair8 devs · median $479 · 9 announced
  7. + DiplomacyLong shot7 devs · median $360 · 14 announced
  8. + MilitaryPoor odds18 devs · median $6.3k · 39 announced
  9. + Online Co-OpPoor odds18 devs · median $4.9k · 63 announced
  10. + Strategy RPGPoor odds8 devs · median $4.9k · 21 announced
  11. + SandboxPoor odds86 devs · median $4.6k · 213 announced
  12. + Colony SimPoor odds42 devs · median $4.6k · 91 announced

All 114 pairs on the Space Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Astrometica · EA $19.99 2,912 82% 87k $1.7M (exactly $1,746,326) BeryMery
Ancient Space older $19.99 270 42% 8.1k $162k (exactly $161,919) CreativeForge Games
Vanguard Galaxy · EA $8.99 565 90% 17k $152k (exactly $152,380) Bat Roost Games
Archean · EA older $19.99 241 87% 7.2k $145k (exactly $144,528) batcholi, FloDKSM
Space Mechanic Simulator older $19.99 115 60% 3.5k $69k (exactly $68,966) Atomic Jelly
Eternal Starlight VR older $14.99 69 89% 2.1k $31k (exactly $31,029) White Noise Games
Above Earth · EA older $17.99 39 71% 1.2k $21k (exactly $21,048) Steven Eric Boyette
INTERASTRA: Planet Survival · EA older $13.99 37 51% 1.1k $16k (exactly $15,529) T-Bull
Spaceport Trading Company · EA older $14.99 33 87% 990 $15k (exactly $14,840) Digital Tectonics, LLC
Triton Survival $14.99 27 70% 810 $12k (exactly $12,142) Family Devs
Null Hørizøn $9.99 27 85% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) HopefullyHeroic
Wrath and Retribution $9.99 23 91% 690 $6.9k (exactly $6,893) Mad Vulture Games
Periapsis: Gravity Slingshot $5.99 27 81% 810 $4.9k (exactly $4,852) PcZ Games
Space Supermarket Simulator $9.99 16 75% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) Mythforge Games
RoboDeal Simulator $3.99 13 92% 390 $1.6k (exactly $1,556) Dual Cluster Studios
Hexfactory $4.99 10 60% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) Aquila Industrial
Space War Economy Idle $4.99 9 66% 270 $1.3k (exactly $1,347) Chasm Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.