Do I ship it?

Games › Inventory Management › Inventory Management + Noir

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Noir Inventory Management game?

Inventory Management + Noir

Only 13 developers shipped a Noir Inventory Management game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Serra de Deus, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360, ×0.8 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $12k, ×27 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 35 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 35 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Inventory Management + Noir
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.0k → $1.5k → $359 → $4.6k (still earning) → $718 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Inventory Management + Noir: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $2.5k (exactly $2,516)
Top 5% $13k (exactly $12,724)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 28
Announced 35
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 450% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Inventory Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Noir
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Inventory Management
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 93% positive over 177 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $360, 1 in 4 over $2.5k, 1 in 20 over $12k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 35 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Inventory Management with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds69 devs · median $15k · 62 announced
  2. + LGBTQ+Fair10 devs · median $17k · 13 announced
  3. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair43 devs · median $12k · 47 announced
  4. + Artificial IntelligenceFair34 devs · median $11k · 44 announced
  5. + WargameFair21 devs · median $4.6k · 20 announced
  6. + Time ManagementFair181 devs · median $2.9k · 228 announced
  7. + DeckbuildingFair98 devs · median $2.5k · 137 announced
  8. + LogicFair70 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  9. + Card GameFair65 devs · median $1.6k · 86 announced
  10. + Trading Card GameFair21 devs · median $1.5k · 28 announced
  11. + Puzzle PlatformerFair20 devs · median $1.1k · 26 announced
  12. + God GameFair16 devs · median $1.1k · 15 announced

All 164 pairs on the Inventory Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

City of Gangsters 2021 · $1.2M Lovecraft's Untold Stories 2 2022 · $78k Serra de Deus 2025 · $13k Word of the Law: Death Mask Collector's Edition 2022 · $7.9k The Order of the Snake Scale 2024 · $7.8k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
City of Gangsters older $29.99 1,332 73% 40k $1.2M (exactly $1,198,400) SomaSim
Lovecraft's Untold Stories 2 older $19.99 130 37% 3.9k $78k (exactly $77,961) LLC Blini Games
Serra de Deus $4.99 85 94% 2.6k $13k (exactly $12,724) David Pateti
Word of the Law: Death Mask Collector's Edition older $7.99 33 78% 990 $7.9k (exactly $7,910) Do Games Limited
The Order of the Snake Scale older $8.99 29 72% 870 $7.8k (exactly $7,821) FM Simple Games Studio, Sons of Welder,… (FM Simple Games Studio, Sons of Welder, Acid Arrow Studio)
Chacara older $2.99 78 91% 2.3k $7.0k (exactly $6,997) David Pateti
A Night at the Watermill older $3.99 50 94% 1.5k $6.0k (exactly $5,985) Neon Tales
City Legends: The Ghost of Misty Hill Collector's Edition older $7.99 21 76% 630 $5.0k (exactly $5,034) Do Games Limited
Criminal Archives: Alphabetic Murders Collector's Edition older $7.99 20 65% 600 $4.8k (exactly $4,794) Do Games Limited
Briefcase $3.99 39 100% 1.2k $4.7k (exactly $4,668) Yuri Antunes
Empire of Vice : Chicago · EA $16.99 9 77% 270 $4.6k (exactly $4,587) Artifex Parvus
Housekeeper: Anomaly $5.99 14 100% 420 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Alex Grim
Encounter: A 8-Bit Noir Adventure... $2.99 17 100% 510 $1.5k (exactly $1,525) Defence Force
Your Price, Your Honor. $2.99 8 62% 240 $718 (exactly $718) Red Comb Studios
Aegis Protocol $5.99 2 50% 60 $359 (exactly $359) Reliq
Gloomy Clues: The Broken Mirror $4.99 2 50% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Pixel Paradise
Blackwater Exchange $7.99 1 0% 30 $240 (exactly $240) Blackwater Gator Studios
Avalone's Adventurers: My Parents were Assassinated so I've Started an Adventuring Party to Avoid a Political Marriage $7.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Night Stroll Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.