Do I ship it?

GamesInventory ManagementInventory Management + Nature

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Nature Inventory Management game?

Inventory Management + Nature

Of 74 developers who shipped a Nature Inventory Management game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 161 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×3.4 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $400k, ×843 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 161 games are announced against 48 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 45% on the market, 161 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Inventory Management + Nature
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 74
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $12k → $14k → $2.2k → $446 → $175k → $3.6k → $1.6k (still earning) → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Inventory Management + Nature: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 74
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,620)
Top 25% $33k (exactly $33,156)
Top 5% $400k (exactly $400,233)
Developers, 2 yr 74
Released games 170
Announced 161
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Inventory Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Nature
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Inventory Management; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Management, Adventure
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, Realistic, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 19,084 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $33k, 1 in 20 over $400k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 6 in 10 of the 29 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 161 games are announced against 48 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Inventory Management with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds69 devs · median $15k · 62 announced
  2. + LGBTQ+Fair10 devs · median $17k · 13 announced
  3. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair43 devs · median $12k · 47 announced
  4. + Artificial IntelligenceFair34 devs · median $11k · 44 announced
  5. + WargameFair21 devs · median $4.6k · 20 announced
  6. + Time ManagementFair181 devs · median $2.9k · 228 announced
  7. + DeckbuildingFair98 devs · median $2.5k · 137 announced
  8. + LogicFair70 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  9. + Card GameFair65 devs · median $1.6k · 86 announced
  10. + Trading Card GameFair21 devs · median $1.5k · 28 announced
  11. + Puzzle PlatformerFair20 devs · median $1.1k · 26 announced
  12. + God GameFair16 devs · median $1.1k · 15 announced

All 164 pairs on the Inventory Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tiny Bookshop $19.99 6,967 96% 209k $4.2M (exactly $4,178,110) neoludic games
Ultimate Fishing® Simulator 2 $19.99 2,077 66% 62k $1.2M (exactly $1,245,577) Silent Bear Studio, SHINING GAMES
The Oregon Trail older $29.99 1,220 79% 37k $1.1M (exactly $1,097,634) Gameloft
cyubeVR · EA older $29.99 1,066 90% 32k $959k (exactly $959,080) Stonebrick Studios
Tiny Aquarium: Social Fishkeeping $7.49 3,386 95% 102k $761k (exactly $760,834) Lunheim Studios
Squirreled Away $14.99 890 94% 27k $400k (exactly $400,233) Far Seas
The Magical Mixture Mill older $19.99 550 82% 17k $330k (exactly $329,835) Glowlight
Mudborne: Frog Management Sim $7.99 993 96% 30k $238k (exactly $238,022) ellraiser, TNgineers
Cornerpond $2.99 2,567 97% 77k $230k (exactly $230,260) foolsroom
World End Diner $16.99 415 93% 12k $212k (exactly $211,525) Andymente
Behind Glass: Aquarium Simulator $14.99 390 95% 12k $175k (exactly $175,383) BitBros Inc
Bugtopia $5.99 866 92% 26k $156k (exactly $155,620) Nocturnal Games
Aurora Hills: Chapter 2 $7.99 533 98% 16k $128k (exactly $127,760) NovaSoft Interactive Ltd.

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.