Do I ship it?

GamesSurvivalSurvival + Interactive Fiction

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Interactive Fiction Survival game?

Survival + Interactive Fiction

Of 72 developers who shipped an Interactive Fiction Survival game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 143 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×3.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $320; 1 in 20 cleared $340k, ×542 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 143 games are announced against 48 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.3 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 143 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Survival + Interactive Fiction
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 72
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $24k → $449 → $1.3k → $1.8k → $1.8k → $4.7k → $390 (still earning) → $2.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Survival + Interactive Fiction: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 72
Bottom 30% $314 (exactly $314)
Median $2.1k (exactly $2,097)
Top 25% $21k (exactly $20,551)
Top 5% $340k (exactly $340,361)
Developers, 2 yr 72
Released games 226
Announced 143
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 90% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Survival
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Survival, Interactive Fiction; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Multiple Endings, RPG, Visual Novel
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $10.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Cinematic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 19,040 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $320, median $2.1k, 1 in 4 over $20k, 1 in 20 over $340k.

3 in 10 developers made under $320. 8 in 10 of the 30 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 143 games are announced against 48 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Survival with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds14 devs · median $74k · 10 announced
  2. + Social DeductionFair31 devs · median $6.2k · 35 announced
  3. + Word GameFair22 devs · median $2.1k · 29 announced
  4. + CatsFair33 devs · median $1.2k · 34 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair77 devs · median $1.0k · 84 announced
  6. + IdlerFair96 devs · median $836 · 99 announced
  7. + Auto BattlerFair79 devs · median $807 · 90 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair101 devs · median $599 · 130 announced
  9. + DogsFair20 devs · median $535 · 19 announced
  10. + Martial ArtsLong shot19 devs · median $419 · 17 announced
  11. + Boomer ShooterLong shot39 devs · median $359 · 32 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds16 devs · median $100k · 28 announced

All 234 pairs on the Survival page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hobo: Tough Life older $29.99 8,679 84% 260k $7.8M (exactly $7,808,496) Perun Creative
Star Trek: Voyager - Across the Unknown $34.99 4,162 79% 125k $4.4M (exactly $4,368,851) Gamexcite
The Weeping Swan: Ten Days of the City's Fall $11.99 8,227 58% 247k $3.0M (exactly $2,959,252) 零创游戏(ZerocreationGame)
BURIED STARS older $39.99 2,117 83% 64k $2.5M (exactly $2,539,765) LINE Games Corporation
Shelter 2 older $24.99 3,378 87% 101k $2.5M (exactly $2,532,487) Might and Delight
Your Turn To Die -Death Game By Majority- · EA older $16.99 4,122 97% 124k $2.1M (exactly $2,100,983) Nankidai
Wild West Legacy older $26.99 1,706 39% 51k $1.4M (exactly $1,381,348) Moon Punch Studio
The Pale Beyond older $19.99 1,858 90% 56k $1.1M (exactly $1,114,243) Saltstone Studios
Murder House older $11.99 2,094 95% 63k $753k (exactly $753,212) Puppet Combo
Green Hell VR older $19.99 1,143 57% 34k $685k (exactly $685,457) Incuvo
荒岛求生:逃出美女岛 $9.99 1,161 93% 35k $348k (exactly $347,952) 翱游科技AlbatrooGame, 荒岛互动娱乐
Blood Money: Lethal Eden $8.99 1,262 91% 38k $340k (exactly $340,361) 碧火互娱
Misty Judgment $8.99 1,170 92% 35k $316k (exactly $315,549) 次元边界
Evil School $7.99 1,058 92% 32k $254k (exactly $253,603) CineGame Interactive
Inner Scales 1:Choice $6.99 929 84% 28k $195k (exactly $194,811) MYSTERY CROWN
晨昏线 $9.99 427 76% 13k $128k (exactly $127,972) Enter Games
1998: The Toll Keeper Story $11.99 292 89% 8.8k $105k (exactly $105,032) GameChanger Studio
Survivor's Notes $6.99 352 91% 11k $74k (exactly $73,814) MYSTERY CROWN, YESPLAY

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.