Do I ship it?

GamesSpace SimSpace Sim + Interactive Fiction

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Interactive Fiction Space Sim?

Space Sim + Interactive Fiction

Only 13 developers shipped an Interactive Fiction Space Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Star Trek: Voyager - Across the Unknown, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $90, ×0.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 17 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper, while revenue is up 6890% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 6890% on the market, 17 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Space Sim + Interactive Fiction
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.4k → $60 → $0 → $39k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Space Sim + Interactive Fiction: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $90 (exactly $90)
Top 25% $3.5k (exactly $3,506)
Top 5% $4.4M (exactly $4,368,851)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 39
Announced 17
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 6890% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Space Sim
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Space Sim, Interactive Fiction; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Choices Matter, Management, Multiple Endings
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 8 games average 78% positive over 4,274 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $90, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $4.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Space Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DestructionFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 22 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair9 devs · median $3.6k · 12 announced
  3. + Tactical RPGFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 15 announced
  4. + WarFair34 devs · median $1.3k · 42 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorFair16 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  6. + SportsFair8 devs · median $479 · 9 announced
  7. + DiplomacyLong shot7 devs · median $360 · 14 announced
  8. + MilitaryPoor odds18 devs · median $6.3k · 39 announced
  9. + Online Co-OpPoor odds18 devs · median $4.9k · 63 announced
  10. + Strategy RPGPoor odds8 devs · median $4.9k · 21 announced
  11. + SandboxPoor odds86 devs · median $4.6k · 213 announced
  12. + Colony SimPoor odds42 devs · median $4.6k · 91 announced

All 114 pairs on the Space Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Star Trek: Voyager - Across the Unknown $34.99 4,162 79% 125k $4.4M (exactly $4,368,851) Gamexcite
The Fermi Paradox · EA older $18.99 956 76% 29k $545k (exactly $544,633) Anomaly Games
Lightracer Spark older $12.99 970 83% 29k $378k (exactly $378,009) Smartmelon Games
Interstellaria older $9.99 353 53% 11k $106k (exactly $105,794) Coldrice Games LLC
Ceiba older $6.99 255 94% 7.7k $53k (exactly $53,474) Wirion, 7DOTS
Lunar Ascendant $14.99 86 44% 2.6k $39k (exactly $38,674) Darts Games
A Long Journey to an Uncertain End older $24.99 33 75% 990 $25k (exactly $24,740) Crispy Creative
Insiders older $13.99 40 80% 1.2k $17k (exactly $16,788) ANG People s.r.o.
General Horse and the Package of Doom older $9.99 54 98% 1.6k $16k (exactly $16,184) Studio spektar, Porcupine Parkour
The Last Hope older $1.99 268 46% 8.0k $16k (exactly $16,000) Balti Calarasi
Become Emperor! My Trillion Beauties Planet Empire $39.99 6 16% 180 $7.2k (exactly $7,198) 万亿美女星球工程设计研究院, Trillion Beauties Planet… (万亿美女星球工程设计研究院, Trillion Beauties Planet Engineering Design Institute)
Destination Gemini $8.99 13 100% 390 $3.5k (exactly $3,506) Hubert Cachat
ASTROSMASH 1981 $4.99 4 0% 120 $599 (exactly $599) BBG Entertainment GmbH
Interstellar Nomad $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Metadarkverse
Retro Wave $2.99 1 0% 30 $90 (exactly $90) cagri burak demir
FULE $1.99 1 0% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Null Reality
Funorbit · EA $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Aeroenix
Versetender $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Helaven Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.