Do I ship it?

GamesShoot 'Em UpShoot 'Em Up + Interactive Fiction

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Interactive Fiction Shoot 'Em Up?

Shoot 'Em Up + Interactive Fiction

Only 5 developers shipped an Interactive Fiction Shoot 'Em Up in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, BLACKWOOD, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×13 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $960 against a market of $480. 13 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 2.0 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 13 announced, ×13 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shoot 'Em Up + Interactive Fiction
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Shoot 'Em Up + Interactive Fiction: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $959 (exactly $959)
Top 25% $106k (exactly $105,794)
Top 5% $424k (exactly $423,580)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 30
Announced 13
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 75% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shoot 'Em Up
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Shoot 'Em Up, Interactive Fiction
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 2,005 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $960, 1 in 4 over $100k, 1 in 20 over $420k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×13 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shoot 'Em Up with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FaithFair13 devs · median $17k · 13 announced
  2. + RomanceFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 7 announced
  3. + VampiresFair15 devs · median $1.3k · 7 announced
  4. + Quick-Time EventsFair8 devs · median $1.2k · 12 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair39 devs · median $628 · 36 announced
  6. + IdlerFair36 devs · median $628 · 14 announced
  7. + Tower DefenseFair70 devs · median $599 · 54 announced
  8. + Resource ManagementFair26 devs · median $599 · 34 announced
  9. + ArcadeFair749 devs · median $419 · 783 announced
  10. + SwordplayLong shot13 devs · median $300 · 5 announced
  11. + MusicPoor odds12 devs · median $9.0k · 12 announced
  12. + LovecraftianPoor odds8 devs · median $8.1k · 20 announced

All 169 pairs on the Shoot 'Em Up page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
BLACKWOOD $24.99 565 46% 17k $424k (exactly $423,580) AttritoM7 Productions
Shooty Shooty Robot Invasion $9.99 353 93% 11k $106k (exactly $105,794) Bubby Darkstar
Peppa Pig: World Adventures older $39.99 70 81% 2.1k $84k (exactly $83,979) Petoons Studio
Spooky Station older $4.99 345 88% 10k $52k (exactly $51,646) Coletivo Vaca Roxa, Vee, JoyMasher, PKO… (Coletivo Vaca Roxa, Vee, JoyMasher, PKO Game Studio, Spookids Team, Calangames, Expresso Studios, Pastel Studios, Heavy Sheep, LASTONE, Asteristic Game Studio)
天降锦鲤 ~ My Lucky Koi older $4.99 245 93% 7.4k $37k (exactly $36,676) V.P. TEAM
Double older $5.99 182 82% 5.5k $33k (exactly $32,705) Tomato Fantasy Games
Sierra Ops - Space Strategy Visual Novel older $14.99 42 80% 1.3k $19k (exactly $18,887) Innomen Team
Insiders older $13.99 40 80% 1.2k $17k (exactly $16,788) ANG People s.r.o.
ASTROSMASH older $14.99 18 77% 540 $8.1k (exactly $8,095) BBG Entertainment GmbH
Endless Furry Killer 2020 older $0.99 145 88% 4.4k $4.3k (exactly $4,306) Tegridy Made Games
Armed Animals RPG $15.99 2 100% 60 $959 (exactly $959) Strejda Jenda Productions
ASTROSMASH 1981 $4.99 4 0% 120 $599 (exactly $599) BBG Entertainment GmbH
GPU Inferno $0.99 3 100% 90 $89 (exactly $89) Moriba

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.