Do I ship it?

GamesOnline Co-OpOnline Co-Op + Interactive Fiction

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Online Co-Op Interactive Fiction?

Online Co-Op + Interactive Fiction

Only 12 developers shipped an Online Co-Op Interactive Fiction in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Shift At Midnight, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $9.0k, ×6.0 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $3.0M, ×2030 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 20 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 20 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Online Co-Op + Interactive Fiction
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.0k → $31k → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Online Co-Op + Interactive Fiction: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $9.0k (exactly $8,994)
Top 25% $84k (exactly $83,690)
Top 5% $3.0M (exactly $3,041,056)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 36
Announced 20
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Online Co-Op
effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines
Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Online Co-Op, Interactive Fiction
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 12,229 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $9.0k, 1 in 4 over $83k, 1 in 20 over $3.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Online Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Bullet HeavenStrong odds27 devs · median $9.3k · 38 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair31 devs · median $14k · 32 announced
  3. + TypingFair16 devs · median $5.0k · 12 announced
  4. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 34 announced
  5. + Point & ClickFair28 devs · median $1.7k · 34 announced
  6. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds29 devs · median $443k · 70 announced
  7. + TransportationPoor odds14 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  8. + JRPGPoor odds11 devs · median $346k · 16 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds72 devs · median $217k · 139 announced
  10. + World War IIPoor odds10 devs · median $188k · 18 announced
  11. + City BuilderPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds20 devs · median $95k · 18 announced

All 211 pairs on the Online Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hobo: Tough Life older $29.99 8,679 84% 260k $7.8M (exactly $7,808,496) Perun Creative
Shift At Midnight $9.99 10,147 88% 304k $3.0M (exactly $3,041,056) Bun Muen
Love Begins With Goodbye $15.99 973 94% 29k $467k (exactly $466,748) 大王工作室, 框嗒网络
Chained in the Backrooms · EA $2.99 933 68% 28k $84k (exactly $83,690) Task+ Studios
Loch Ness · EA older $13.99 104 38% 3.1k $44k (exactly $43,649) JFi Games
Antioch: Scarlet Bay older $4.99 220 78% 6.6k $33k (exactly $32,934) Midnight Mood Studio
Native Hunter $17.99 58 72% 1.7k $31k (exactly $31,303) A.P.S
Debris older $9.99 97 60% 2.9k $29k (exactly $29,071) Moonray Studios
Mad Experiments: Escape Room 2 older $12.99 69 65% 2.1k $27k (exactly $26,889) PlayTogether Studio
French Crime Detective Game older $19.99 40 92% 1.2k $24k (exactly $23,988) Rakame 7
TEAM PANIC $3.99 83 62% 2.5k $9.9k (exactly $9,935) Furko
Fizz Quiz $14.99 20 50% 600 $9.0k (exactly $8,994) Moon
Midnight Kebab $4.99 8 12% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Ufuk
The Storyteller $5.99 4 100% 120 $719 (exactly $719) Ferrari Dev
FILENDS $5.99 1 0% 30 $180 (exactly $180) MFI GAMES
RP2D Virtual Tabletop · EA $2.99 2 50% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Lilibot Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.